#以太坊行情技术解读 tonight's non-farm payroll data, the probability of a rise followed by a fall is not low.

Looking at the forward-looking data, overall employment is still relatively stable, and the short-term market can easily interpret this as "not bad," with bullish sentiment possibly taking the lead, pushing risk assets directly higher.

The problem is—if wage growth and employment strength remain high, inflationary pressures simply cannot be alleviated. In this case, the expectation of interest rate cuts will need to be revised and re-priced. After sentiment correction, the reverse operation might actually cause a sharp decline.

To put it simply:
Sentiment leads, data corrects afterward.

Non-farm payroll movements are inherently volatile, not a one-sided bull or bear trend. The structure of initial rally followed by a crash requires careful attention.

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