#策略性加码BTC $DASH $ZEN $XRP

Tonight, the US CPI data will be released soon, and the market is holding its breath. The market consensus generally points to a month-on-month increase possibly reaching 0.3% — which is undoubtedly a heavy blow to investors who have been shouting "cut interest rates quickly" since the beginning of the year.

Predictions are mostly consistent, with the range being squeezed very narrow: between 0.2% and 0.4%. The current suspense is no longer about "whether it will rise or not," but about "how much it will rise." Service sector prices remain firm, and the "gray rhino" of rent costs still cannot be pushed down, indicating that inflationary pressure seems to be rising again.

Core CPI month-on-month and year-on-year remain at a high of 2.7%, giving more voice to the hawkish forces of the Federal Reserve.

CME FedWatch tool data is quite eye-catching — market expectations for rate cuts before June have fallen to less than 30%. Traders' patience is really running out.

If tonight's data indeed jumps to 0.3% or higher, the script must be rewritten immediately. The US dollar is likely to see a rally, risk assets may collectively come under pressure, and the market's original timetable for rate cuts? Most probably will be pushed further back.

The first test of 2026 is coming just like that. Buckle up, market volatility can strike at any time.

(Disclaimer: This content is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. Invest cautiously.)