Recent people keep saying "It's all written on-chain," but what you see on-chain is actually the version provided to you by nodes/RPC/indexers, which may be delayed or miss some edges. When RPC is busy, it can get stuck; while the indexer is still rebuilding, it becomes even slower. The result is that you think a transaction "just happened," but in fact, it was already packaged long ago; or you keep an eye on a certain address with no movement, only to find out after switching nodes that it was transferred long ago. The attention shifts of memes and celebrities are even more obvious, with many chasing "on-chain signals," only to receive the delayed final signal... I am more like someone who observes structure and unlocks rhythm, rather than someone who jumps to conclusions based on one or two transactions. Anyway, don't treat a single data source as an omniscient perspective.