¿Dogecoin puede subir un 28000%? Ciclos históricos vs predicciones conservadoras, ¿qué está especulando el mercado?

【币界】有投研机构通过回溯历史山寨币周期，给出了狗狗币的激进预测——价格可能上演28000%的飙升。他们的逻辑是什么呢？翻翻历史账本，类似的暴涨（超9000%甚至28000%）其实并非个案。

不过呢，长期目标位20美元和短期预期就有差异了。比如某些机构预测到2026年初狗狗币可能在0.17美元附近，相对来说还是偏保守。这差异的背后，主要看两点：市场能否彻底逆转，以及山寨币行情会不会再来一轮。这些都是变量。

【Coin Circle】Research institutions have made aggressive predictions for Dogecoin by tracing back the historical cycles of altcoins — with the price potentially experiencing a 28000% surge. What is their logic? Looking back through the historical records, similar explosive rallies (exceeding 9000% or even 28000%) are actually not isolated cases.

However, there’s a difference between the long-term target of $20 and short-term expectations. For example, certain institutions predict that Dogecoin could be around $0.17 by early 2026, which is relatively conservative. Behind this discrepancy, it mainly comes down to two points: whether the market can completely reverse, and whether the altcoin rally will come around again. These are all variables.