January 9th Crude Oil Trend Analysis



Following the U.S. announcement of a $2 billion oil deal, representatives from American and European oil companies are preparing to visit the country next week. Meanwhile, the U.S. has seized two tankers associated with Venezuela. Additionally, another tanker headed to Russia was attacked in the Black Sea, and Iraq has nationalized the Kirkuk 2 oil field to evade U.S. sanctions. These developments have intensified market concerns about supplies from Russia, Iraq, and Iran. As mentioned yesterday, crude oil may continue to experience short-term speculative fluctuations in the near term, but the overall market supply remains in a loose condition, which has not fundamentally changed. These short-term speculative movements will not alter the core trend. We are not expecting a continuation of short-term rebounds; resistance at the 59 level should provide sufficient pressure above.
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