TRUMP coin price prediction: The Epstein files severely damage buying interest, fearing a collapse below 4 dollars.

Donald Trump is once again troubled by allegations related to Epstein, as the latest emails released by House Democrats reveal that Trump knows much more about Epstein's behavior than he has admitted, casting a shadow over the bullish TRU coin price predictions. This meme coin, seen as a symbol of support for the former president, may now face selling pressure, potentially falling to $4.25, a 40% drop from current levels.

Epstein emails exposed shake the TRUMP community

(Source: Oversight Dems)

The latest emails released by House Democrats show that Trump knew much more about Epstein's behavior than he admitted. Although these emails do not provide evidence of Trump's direct misconduct, they raise questions about his past statements regarding his relationship with Epstein. White House Press Secretary Caroline Levitt condemned the “selectively released emails” in a statement, claiming that these emails were intended to “smear” the President.

As more and more people support the motion to submit the Epstein files for an immediate vote in the House of Representatives, the controversy is escalating. Reports indicate that Trump is working to rally voter opposition to the motion. This political game directly affects the market sentiment surrounding TRU coin, as the value of this meme coin heavily relies on Trump's personal image and the confidence of his supporters.

The biggest difference between TRUMP coin and traditional assets is that it is not based on company profits or technological innovation, but is purely built on political sentiment and community consensus. When Trump faces negative news, this foundation becomes extremely fragile. The exposure of the Epstein documents not only sparked controversy on a political level but also directly threatened the confidence of TRUMP coin holders. If core supporters begin to question or divide, the value of the Meme coin could collapse rapidly.

As the community splits and news reports intensify, the price prediction for TRUMP coin may experience fluctuations as traders weigh speculative risks and opportunities. From the discussions on social media, there is a clear polarization among TRUMP holders: a portion of steadfast supporters believes this is a “mainstream media smear,” choosing to continue holding or increase their positions; another portion has begun to question and has chosen to take profits or stop-loss out. This division is directly reflected in the dramatic volatility of the price trend.

Technical Analysis: Breakout Failure and 40% Fall Risk

(Source: Trading View)

The Epstein controversy has undermined Trump's best attempt to break out of a six-month descending channel, and the current price is testing the key demand zone around $7.35. This level is the last barrier to a potential false breakout, and as the momentum indicators turn bearish, this level seems to be under pressure.

From the daily chart, TRUMP has been in a descending channel for the past six months, with price highs and lows continuing to decline. In recent weeks, the price attempted to break through the upper boundary of the channel, which was seen by technical analysts as a potential signal of trend reversal. However, the exposure of the Epstein documents coincided with the critical moment of the breakout, leading to the collapse of buying pressure and the price falling back inside the channel.

The RSI indicator has retraced and is retesting the neutral line at 50, while the MACD indicator is approaching a potential death cross below the signal line, both suggesting a developing downtrend. The RSI (Relative Strength Index) crossing down through the 50 neutral line from above typically marks the loss of bullish momentum, with selling pressure beginning to dominate. The death cross of the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) is a stronger bearish signal, as the fast line crosses down through the slow line from above, often indicating the beginning of a sustained decline.

Technical Indicator Bearish Signal

· RSI has fallen back to around the 50 neutral line, indicating weakened bullish momentum.

· MACD approaches a death cross, a downtrend may be forming

· The six-month descending channel breakout failed, returning to a bearish pattern.

· 7.35 support level faces severe test

The increasing dumping pressure related to the Epstein scandal may break the balance, causing the price of TRUMP coin to fall back to around $4.25 near the lower boundary of the channel, a 40% drop from the current level. This target price is not chosen arbitrarily but is based on the technical projection of the descending channel. If the support at $7.35 is lost, the next major support level is around $4.25, which is the confluence area of the lower boundary of the channel and the previous low.

Will TRUMP go to zero or rebound to 25 dollars?

However, the possibility of the TRUMP coin price plummeting to zero seems unlikely. So far, the market's reaction to the related news has been relatively restrained. Despite the Epstein documents triggering a media storm, the price of TRUMP has not experienced a panic sell-off, which shows that core holders are still holding strong. The characteristics of meme coins determine that they often exhibit remarkable resilience in extreme situations, as loyal fans view negative news as a “buying opportunity.”

On the contrary, if the excitement on social media attracts new attention and new funds into the Trump camp, then the rebound may restore the breakout path, targeting a price of $12.50, with a pump of 65%. This scenario is not impossible, as controversial news can sometimes bring a “traffic dividend” for Meme coins. When mainstream media extensively reports on Trump-related news, whether positive or negative, it enhances the exposure of TRUMP coin and attracts speculators to enter.

In addition, if market sentiment remains bullish, the stock price may again reach peaks around $25, and if market sentiment recovers, the increase could reach 240%. This target price requires an extremely optimistic scenario: the Epstein controversy subsides, Trump's political position stabilizes, and the overall cryptocurrency market enters a frenzy stage. In this perfect storm, TRU, as the most talked-about political meme coin, may replicate the brilliance of early 2024.

TRUMP coin Price Prediction in Three Scenarios

Pessimistic Scenario (Probability 40%): Break below the support of 7.35 USD, drop to 4.25 USD, a decline of 40%.

Neutral Scenario (Probability 45%): Fluctuating in the $7-9 range, waiting for the controversy to settle.

Optimistic Scenario (Probability 15%): Controversy brings traffic benefits, breaking through $12.50, target $25

From a risk management perspective, the current risk-reward ratio for TRUMP is not ideal. The downside risk of 40% compared to the potential upside of 65% to 240% presents too much uncertainty. For conservative investors, it is recommended to wait for the support test result at $7.35. For aggressive traders, a small position can be tested near $7.35, with strict stop-loss set below $7.

Political Risks and Speculative Nature of Meme Coins

The case of TRUMP coin once again reminds investors that the value of political meme coins is extremely dependent on the image and reputation of a single individual. Unlike assets such as Bitcoin or Ethereum that are based on decentralized networks and technological innovations, TRUMP coin has no intrinsic value or practical application scenarios, and is purely a speculative tool and a symbol of political expression.

The continued fermentation of the Epstein documents may cause long-term damage to TRU coin. Even if Trump's political status remains fundamentally unshaken, any association with negative scandals will weaken its appeal as a “brand.” For Meme coins, brand image is everything. When the brand is damaged, it is difficult to maintain the price.

Historically, the life cycle of political Meme coins tends to be extremely short. Most of them return to zero or near zero after the hype fades. For TRUMP coin to survive in the long term, it needs continuous new topics and events to stimulate market interest. Although the Epstein controversy is negative news, it is also a form of “topicality.” The key is whether this topicality can be converted into buying pressure, rather than just selling pressure.

For investors holding TRUMP coin, the most important thing at the moment is to closely monitor community sentiment and capital flow. If the discussion on social media continues to be heated but the price keeps falling, it indicates that the new buying power is insufficient to offset the selling pressure, which is a clear bearish signal. On the contrary, if the price remains resilient or even rebounds amid negative news, it shows that core holders are firmly confident, which may lay the foundation for a subsequent rebound.