Tonight at 3:00 AM, the Federal Reserve interest rate decision will be announced, followed at 3:30 AM by the Powell monetary policy press conference. These two time windows are like ticking time bombs. For those with no positions, it’s recommended to stay on the sidelines; for those with positions, it’s best to reduce exposure to hedge risks.
Previously, I opened short positions at 93,300 and 3,100. When the unrealized profit reached 33,000, I didn’t dare to close. Now, although the average price has been pulled higher, the positions are very light. Facing this kind of news, I don’t dare to hold firm; I will withdraw most of my positions first and wait for the storm to pass.
From a technical perspective, Bitcoin’s resistance levels are at 94,500 and 96,000. If it breaks higher, keep an eye on the 102,000 level. For Ethereum, resistance is at 3,400; after breaking through, watch for 3,600.
Looking downward, Bitcoin’s support levels are at 91,800, 90,300, and 88,000; if broken, key levels are 86,000, 84,000, and 82,000. Ethereum’s support levels are around 3,230, 3,060, and 3,000; if these are breached, then 2,900, 2,730, and 2,620 are critical support zones.
My short-selling strategy remains unchanged, but tonight’s market conditions emphasize that survival is more important than big ambitions.
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DAOplomacy
· 12-10 20:34
ngl, the whole "staying alive matters more than the thesis" thing? that's where i'd prolly draw the line tbh. like yeah the fed's about to drop some non-trivial externalities on market structure, but bailing entirely feels... sub-optimal? idk, historical precedent suggests vol events sometimes create better entries than the setup beforehand
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GateUser-afe07a92
· 12-10 13:50
A unrealized profit of 33,000 is hard to give up, I understand this mindset, but Powell's words could wipe out a year's earnings... Living really is more important than making money.
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OldLeekMaster
· 12-10 13:50
Hey, I've been thinking about whether I should just run away from this Fed bomb too. Missing out on the $33,000 floating profit is really frustrating, haha.
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HorizonHunter
· 12-10 13:49
33,000 unrealized profit not taken, I understand this mentality, but Powell's words can really rewrite the market trend, so let's just stay alive tonight first.
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BlockchainTalker
· 12-10 13:46
Actually, let's break this down through a game theory lens—fed decisions are basically information cascades where the first mover advantage goes to those who de-risk before consensus solidifies. Your point about "staying alive > maintaining thesis" is empirically proven across every market cycle, tbh.
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ZenChainWalker
· 12-10 13:39
The 3:30 press conference was really a trap. I also didn't lock in my unrealized gains and got caught by a counterattack. Now I'm just waiting for the news to break and then I'll quickly exit.
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ChainSpy
· 12-10 13:38
The floating profit of 33,000 can still hold back the injustice, I am really convinced. In front of this bomb tonight, living is the king.
Tonight at 3:00 AM, the Federal Reserve interest rate decision will be announced, followed at 3:30 AM by the Powell monetary policy press conference. These two time windows are like ticking time bombs. For those with no positions, it’s recommended to stay on the sidelines; for those with positions, it’s best to reduce exposure to hedge risks.
Previously, I opened short positions at 93,300 and 3,100. When the unrealized profit reached 33,000, I didn’t dare to close. Now, although the average price has been pulled higher, the positions are very light. Facing this kind of news, I don’t dare to hold firm; I will withdraw most of my positions first and wait for the storm to pass.
From a technical perspective, Bitcoin’s resistance levels are at 94,500 and 96,000. If it breaks higher, keep an eye on the 102,000 level. For Ethereum, resistance is at 3,400; after breaking through, watch for 3,600.
Looking downward, Bitcoin’s support levels are at 91,800, 90,300, and 88,000; if broken, key levels are 86,000, 84,000, and 82,000. Ethereum’s support levels are around 3,230, 3,060, and 3,000; if these are breached, then 2,900, 2,730, and 2,620 are critical support zones.
My short-selling strategy remains unchanged, but tonight’s market conditions emphasize that survival is more important than big ambitions.