2025-12-10 16:21:29

There will be a major move this Thursday early morning.

At 3:00 AM Beijing time on December 11th, the Federal Reserve will announce its December interest rate decision. The market widely expects a 25 basis point cut, but the real highlight is half an hour later—Jerome Powell's press conference at 3:30.

In addition to the rate cut itself, this time they will also update the dot plot and economic forecast. Essentially, the Fed is setting the tone for next year's policy. Currently, US liquidity is still quite tight, so many are watching a key question: will the Federal Reserve implement a "Reserve Management Purchase Plan" (RMP) to ease funding pressures?

The market will see whether Powell continues to be hawkish or shifts dovish tonight. For the crypto world, this could directly impact upcoming liquidity expectations.

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BearHugger

· 12-10 16:51

At 3 a.m., Powell's speech is the real game-changer; a 25bp interest rate cut is nothing, the key is how to play next year.

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PositionPhobia

· 12-10 16:51

Getting up at 3 AM just to listen to Powell tell stories, is this trade worth it? --- 25 basis points, what difference can this small change make... The key still depends on how he says it, a single sentence might be much more impactful than numbers. --- I just want to know whether this time is about easing or continuing the hard landing. The fate of the crypto market seems to be in the old man's hands. --- Reserve management bond purchase plan? Here comes another new concept, I TM don't understand, but it feels like money is about to move again. --- Can't sleep tonight, set my alarm and prepare for a big hit, everyone. --- I can't tell if liquidity is tight or not, just want to know if my position will be green or red tomorrow morning. --- Dot plot update... This thing is even more complicated than candlestick charts, better wait for the influencer analyst to explain it to me.

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NotSatoshi

· 12-10 16:47

Staying up at 3 a.m. to watch Powell's speech, this is our life... Whether they cut rates or not, it can still drop. I'll just watch the show quietly.

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MechanicalMartel

· 12-10 16:42

Getting up at 3 AM to watch Powell, is this trade profitable or not? --- Another big show, the dot plot is the real main character. --- Hawk or dove, just look at this wave to know how high the coins can fly next year. --- If RMP is really coming, liquidity will loosen, and that's when the takeoff happens. --- Old Powell, this guy needs to give a clear signal, don’t keep it vague. --- Cutting 25 basis points, who doesn't know, the key is what they say afterward. --- No sleep tonight, I have to follow this wave of market行情. --- Feels like the market has already priced in it; I’m just worried Powell might cause an unexpected move. --- Liquidity has been tight for so long, it has to loosen up eventually, or else it’s really hard to play. --- The press conference at 3:30 is the real highlight; the rate cut is just a supporting act.

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WhaleStalker

· 12-10 16:39

Not sleeping at 3 a.m. just to wait for Powell's speech—that's true conviction. I don't understand whether they'll cut or not, whether RMP will happen or not; it all depends on what this guy says. Liquidity really determines everything; whether it's hawkish or dovish, the price of the coin speaks directly. Monitoring the market 24/7, just for that half hour—is it worth it? Absolutely. Only after the dot plot updates do we know how next year will go; guessing now is just a waste.

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failed_dev_successful_ape

· 12-10 16:30

At 3:30 AM, Powell's speech—this is the real test. Rate cuts are just the appetizer; the key is how he hints at the roadmap for next year.

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