2025-12-11 02:50:54

The recent price trend of #美联储降息 $ETH has become a good window for observing market sentiment. Not long ago, data released at 3 a.m. directly pushed the index up to 3446, but just an hour later, the market started to turn downward, and it is still weakening.

The logic behind this rhythm is quite clear: positive news is absorbed into the price in advance, market sentiment reaches a peak, and trading volume also hits a top. Coupled with the characteristic of the early morning period having the weakest liquidity, a slight push by the bears can trigger a chain reaction. This is not a coincidence but an inevitable part of market structure.

For traders, the key lies in predicting these turning points. Recognizing the triple top of news, sentiment, and volume in advance allows for catching positions at critical moments. The current performance of $BTC and $SOL also verifies this logic—although the Federal Reserve's rate cut expectations support sentiment, phased technical adjustments remain highly probable.

In the short term, continuing to observe the performance during these periods of weak liquidity will be very interesting, and when the right position appears, it will be a good opportunity for strategic play.

ETH-4.49%

BTC-2.11%

SOL-2.73%

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MetaDreamer

· 12-11 18:04

The move at 3 AM was indeed incredible. It was pulled up to 3446 and then ran away—a classic fake-out. That's why I never chase highs; the real opportunity only comes when liquidity is thin. As soon as a triple top appears, you should just run. I've already learned that. The rate cut expectations are perfect for harvesting the little guys again, haha. ETH's rhythm is really hard to understand this time. It feels like some big players are messing with us.

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SmartContractPlumber

· 12-11 03:20

The wave at 3 a.m. was just the market setting a trap for newcomers. When liquidity thins out, they start playing the permission control game, and after pushing up, they dump directly. This is similar to a certain re-entrancy vulnerability I reviewed—seemingly perfectly logical but actually just a trap. --- Fast message digestion is nothing new; the problem is that traders always underestimate the destructive power of liquidity vulnerabilities. Like integer overflow, a small fluctuation can trigger a chain reaction. --- The triple top theory sounds good, but I’m more concerned—could this round of decline potentially expose risks at the contract level? Who guarantees that no new chain of exploits is brewing? --- The early morning hours are indeed the hunters’ turf. Thin liquidity makes contracts as fragile as if they had no permission checks. To be blunt, most of those who get sliced didn’t bother to think about defense. --- The Fed’s rate cut expectations probably won’t last long. The technical adjustments are just superficial; the real issue is that the market structure itself has vulnerabilities—no one has properly done security checks.

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just_another_wallet

· 12-11 03:19

The rebound at 3 AM really made me laugh; it reversed within an hour. This is the so-called false breakout, right? This wave of ETH's move is indeed textbook-level trap trading, with the news completely absorbed. Liquidity is thin, so it's easiest to get harvested. Wake up, everyone. The triple top logic is reliable; next time, make sure to stick to stop-loss.

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ChainPoet

· 12-11 03:15

The surge at 3 a.m. was truly amazing, only to be reversed within an hour. That's what you call a "false boom." 3446 is directly controlled, short sellers have no trouble, and periods of low liquidity are all hunting grounds. Once again, it proves that news always cannot compare to technical analysis. The right bottom-fishing position hasn't appeared yet, so let's keep observing. The probability of this wave of correction is indeed high, I saw it coming a long time ago. The market at dawn is the most unreliable; who is even awake at that time? Why do we always buy at the high points? You need to learn the routines of the bears. $BTC and $SOL are also testing; the market logic is actually very cruel. Once a triple top forms, there is no room for negotiation. Periods of low liquidity present opportunities, the key is whether you dare to act at that time.

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OnchainHolmes

· 12-11 03:10

At 3 a.m., it dropped to 3446 again and then immediately fell again. This move feels very familiar, once again the routine of retail investors getting chopped up. --- Exactly right, the low-liquidity periods are the hunting grounds for bears, retail investors simply can't keep up. --- The theory of a triple top sounds impressive, but how many can actually predict it? I don't have that ability. --- Every time I say that next time I buy the dip, I need to be precise with my entry, but I still get caught in the trap. WTF. --- The good news of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates has already been priced in. Now, looking at the technicals is the real way to go. --- Such liquidity traps do exist, but making money by simply recognizing them? The barrier is much higher than imagined. --- $ETH's recent movement is just ridiculous, feels like the market is repeatedly testing the bottom to chop the retail traders.

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CoinBasedThinking

· 12-11 03:02

The surge at 3 a.m. was really just a trap to lure buyers in, then it turned around within an hour. The bears are indeed clever. It's the same old trick; the news has already been priced in, now it's just a matter of who can catch the right rhythm. The performance of ETH this time is a signal—BTC and SOL followed with a plunge. Technical adjustments are unavoidable. Liquidity is weakest during these periods, making it easiest to be "harvested." You must keep a close eye on this point. Triple tops need to be identified in advance; otherwise, you'll end up getting cut again.

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BagHolderTillRetire

· 12-11 03:00

At 3 a.m., a quick in and out move—I've seen this routine too many times... It's just retail investors being fooled by the news again. I'm starting to look into this weak liquidity thing again. It makes sense, but how many can really catch the move? The Federal Reserve's rate cut benefits were already priced in long ago. Now, only technical adjustments matter. Whether we can catch this wave depends on how things unfold later. I've already managed my risk in my position. 3 a.m. is definitely the easiest time to get caught, next time I’ll avoid it. 3446, that’s it. I really have to say, these bears are incredible. When volume peaks, you should run. But this time, I didn’t get out fast enough... The logic looks very clear, but execution keeps failing—maybe I’m just too inexperienced. Let’s wait and see if there’s another chance to add, otherwise I won’t dare to chase at this price.

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quietly_staking

· 12-11 02:51

3446 is at it again? The midnight vampire hours are indeed the best time to harvest profits --- Honestly, the news-driven moves come and go; everyone can see through it --- The triple top theory is pretty good; it would have been better if I had seen it earlier --- Waiting for the Fed expectations to materialize, probably needs another shakeout; already taking a break --- During periods of weak liquidity, it's best to stay in cash; lessons learned

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