#美联储联邦公开市场委员会决议 Crude Oil Trend Observation | Analysis for the Evening of December 15

The core issue remains an imbalance between supply and demand—the oversupply pattern has not improved, and the boost from geopolitical risks has gradually diminished. What about market liquidity? It still appears quite cautious about long positions. So the rebound you see? Basically, it's just technical correction, lacking real fundamental support, and the upward momentum is weakening.

Looking at the daily chart, the $56 level still plays an important support role. The 1-hour chart trend is even more noteworthy: after bouncing from the low of 56.84, it was pushed down again at 57.60. Currently, the price has returned to 56.93, near the lower boundary of the range. Moving averages are tightly grouped, and volatility has noticeably narrowed—neither bulls nor bears have established a clear direction yet, and the market is in a state of indecision, waiting for a breakout.

What do the indicators say? After the 1-hour MACD formed a bullish crossover below the zero line, the red bars quickly shrank. What does this indicate? The selling pressure around 57.60 is quite evident. Although the moving averages are turning upward, they are very close together, reflecting that the bulls are only weakly supporting the price, with no sustained upward energy.

**Trading idea**: Light long positions within the 56.8-57.0 range | Stop-loss at 56.5 | Targets at 57.3 and 57.5

$BTC $ETH