Looking at today's market, anxiety is pervasive in the air. Altcoins are plunging, BTC is sideways, ETH is weak, BNB is stagnant, and the comment sections are full of "The bear market is here" sentiments. The trending search terms are all negative expectations—yet there's something being overlooked by most people.

On the other hand, what does a real crash look like? It’s a breakdown of defenses, support levels becoming meaningless, and a single large bearish candle breaking through market psychology. But the current situation is quite the opposite.

**Why is BTC repeatedly testing the 3600U narrow range?**

Data shows that BTC is firmly stuck between 83786 and 87384. It has touched the 837xx level (83780, 83820, 83755) three times on the downside, without breaking below. On the upside, it has bounced off the top at 87384 but cannot push through. The daily trading range is less than 3600 USD.

This "lock-in" phenomenon precisely indicates— the market is under high control. The main players are repeatedly accumulating within this range, neither giving bulls a chance for a big rally nor letting bears get completely out of control. It’s more like a carefully orchestrated clearing and shakeout, rather than the eve of a collapse.

**What story do the six lower shadow wicks of ETH tell?**

ETH appears fragile on the surface. From 2854 down to 2718, it has formed six consecutive lower shadow wicks. Each time it hits the key support at 2718, it is quickly pulled back—seemingly powerless, but actually hiding something.

How strong is this 2718 support? There are basically no signs of breaking. Repeatedly testing the same level and bouncing back quickly is a standard accumulation tactic. The main force is using the decline to test market sentiment, then quickly taking profits at the bottom. The apparent weakness is actually hidden accumulation.

**Why do 90% of people get trapped by this?**

Human psychology has a weakness—seeing a decline makes people imagine an even worse future. Once this expectation forms, it reinforces itself. Negative news is everywhere, comment sections are full of pessimism, and ultimately, many miss the rally or get shaken out. This is exactly what the main players want—buy cheap and shake out the FOMO traders.

The real danger signals should be: support levels ruthlessly broken, insufficient volume, and a sharp decline in market participation. But now, although sentiment is low, the bottom support remains, and activity has not disappeared. These are two completely different scenarios.

**What’s next?**

In the short term, BTC and ETH may continue to oscillate within their respective ranges. The main players need time to accumulate enough chips. But once the positions are sufficiently concentrated, a breakout will come suddenly. When that happens, those who have exited out of fear will only watch as the market takes off.

The market is never short of traps, nor opportunities. The key is whether you can see through these carefully crafted "fake crashes" and whether you have the courage to hold firm when others are in fear.