Let's talk about a few innovative pharmaceutical companies I've been following recently, and briefly analyze their respective strengths and weaknesses.



First, Hengrui Medicine. This company is a benchmark in domestic innovative drugs, with over 30 innovative medicines already on the market. R&D investment accounts for more than 20% of revenue, which shows their dedication. They have a substantial pipeline of ADCs and bispecific antibodies, and are collaborating with GSK to advance new products. Multiple new drugs are expected to be included in the national insurance by 2025, and international expansion is accelerating. In the short term, the key factors are the volume growth of Camrelizumab and progress in ADC clinical trials. However, with a market cap of 395.378 billion and a PE ratio of 52.94, the valuation is somewhat high. The main risks include whether the price negotiations with insurance will be too aggressive and whether their innovation and transformation can proceed as scheduled.

BeiGene's Zeclinostat has already achieved global sales, and their Tislelizumab insurance renewal is also in place. Their strengths lie in strong dual-reporting capabilities in China and the US, and good overseas expansion. They have pipelines in oncology, autoimmune diseases, and other fields, with relatively stable cash flow. The focus will be on new indications approval and the continued volume growth of Zeclinostat. Market cap is 413.826 billion, with a dynamic PS of 11.60. Risks include high R&D costs and short-term profit pressures.

Rongchang Biotech is a representative of domestically produced ADCs. Their overseas license for Vidicitabine has generated $2.6 billion, and Taituximab has shown good results in severe myasthenia gravis. In Q1 2025, revenue is expected to increase by nearly 60% year-over-year. The focus moving forward will be on overseas clinical development and new ADC product R&D. Market cap is 43.851 billion, with a dynamic PS of 19.68. Caution is needed regarding commercialization and R&D progress.

Nohla Therapeutics' BTK inhibitor Obinutuzumab is the first domestically developed drug entering the autoimmune field. Three indications are already covered by insurance, and a first-line lymphoma indication will be added in 2025. They have raised over 5 billion yuan, can be profitable in a single quarter, and have licensing revenue exceeding $2 billion. Their growth pace is quite steady.
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TokenomicsPolicevip
· 01-06 10:23
Hengrui's PE really can't hold up anymore; once the healthcare cut is implemented, it might be worth a sharp decline.
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CryptoTarotReadervip
· 01-06 09:16
Hengrui PE is already at 52, still dare to buy? The medical insurance price negotiation is really tough, this estimate probably costs quite a bit of soil, right?
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WenMoonvip
· 01-05 18:23
Hengrui's PE is just too outrageous, they just lie flat when it comes to medical insurance bargaining... Baiji is stable, no short-term catalysts Rongchang's $2.6 billion is indeed impressive, but commercialization depends on what happens next... NuoCheng's Oboletin pace is the most steady, really capable of turning a profit
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PortfolioAlertvip
· 01-04 19:30
Hengrui PE over fifty is a bit outrageous, and it will drop as soon as the medical insurance bargaining starts.
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EthMaximalistvip
· 01-03 11:56
Hengrui PE 52.94 still dares to boast, the medical insurance cutting knife is coming soon. I surrender to those who aren't afraid of death.
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PrivacyMaximalistvip
· 01-03 11:55
Hengrui's PE is a bit outrageous, and the price negotiations with the medical insurance are about to get tough.
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HodlTheDoorvip
· 01-03 11:40
Hengrui's valuation is too high, and the medical insurance cuts will cause bloodshed. Maybe we should wait and see.
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NotGonnaMakeItvip
· 01-03 11:29
Hengrui PE is already at 52, this valuation is really a bit outrageous. If the medical insurance negotiations come down hard, it might cause a bloodbath.
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QuietlyStakingvip
· 01-03 11:27
Hengrui's valuation is a bit outrageous, PE of over 52 is really expensive, can it survive with a single cut in medical insurance negotiations? BeiGene's steady approach this time is good, but the intense spending is too much, and it's still difficult to break through in the short term. Rongchang's $2.6 billion licensing deal is indeed attractive, but I'm worried about setbacks in commercialization. NuoCheng's quarterly profit at this pace is incredible; whether Obinutuzumab can continue to break through is the real highlight.
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