#比特币价格走势 Seeing this prediction that "in three months it will reach 170,000," my first reaction is: here we go again. I've heard this kind of statement too many times, always wrapped in various technical indicators and historical patterns.

Don't rush to jump in just yet. RSI dropping below 30 and being oversold five times before rising sounds reasonable and well-supported, but the market never follows the exact script of history. I've seen too many people treat historical patterns as talismans, only to get completely wiped out. No matter how beautiful the predictions are, they can't change one reality: no one can accurately forecast short-term movements.

The key issue is that these "optimistic factors" in the analysis—ETF inflows, institutional adoption, tokenization—are all things that take medium to long-term to materialize. A jump from the current price to 170,000 within three months? Fluctuations, corrections, and even crash risks are entirely possible in between. I used to frequently chase high in such "it's about to rise" expectations, only to get caught in the end.

Bitcoin is currently around 84,000, which is indeed a position worth paying attention to. But my advice is, don't get excited by these short-term predictions. If you really want to participate, be prepared with two things: first, clearly define your holding period and stop-loss points; second, don't bet all your chips on a single prediction.

History will repeat, but never exactly. Stay vigilant—it's better to survive than to chase overnight riches.