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Do you remember last April's adjustment? The US stock market and BTC fell together, then rebounded together—an textbook-level synchronized performance.
Currently, the position of the US stock market is honestly a bit awkward. Imagine a person standing on the edge of a cliff doing push-ups; the technical indicators are fine, but the problem is the position is too dangerous. In contrast, BTC has long since proactively released some bubbles and started adjusting its pace. Their rhythms are out of sync—one has finished drinking water and is resting, while the other is still sprinting desperately.
From a historical perspective, if the US stock market really experiences a 20% major correction, BTC will inevitably fall again. But looking on the bright side, this is actually a good thing, equivalent to thoroughly flushing out accumulated toxins. The most dangerous situation now is: the US stock market holding high levels stubbornly, BTC stuck halfway up the mountain, one foot on the boat and one foot on the shore, with the greatest risk of splitting apart.