⚡Senior economist blasts: The US unemployment crisis is brewing, and the Federal Reserve may be forced to cut rates aggressively five times within a year!
Wall Street economist David Rosenberg recently dropped a bombshell: don’t be fooled by the calm surface of the US labor market; problems have already emerged beneath. He believes the unemployment rate isn’t cooling down but is actually collapsing, eventually hitting 6%. Once a recession is triggered, the Fed will have to slash interest rates by 125 basis points in 2026 — averaging about once a month.
Does the numbers seem less scary? An increase from 4% to 4.6% unemployment sounds mild. But the signals behind the scenes are terrifying: October’s layoffs rate hit a nearly one-year high, hiring speed plummeted, and ordinary people's confidence in employment prospects has returned to the worst pandemic levels. Rosenberg’s conclusion is straightforward: "These data point to an inevitable outcome — the unemployment rate will test 6%."
There’s also a heartbreaking detail: large-scale layoffs among white-collar workers are actually "packaged" with severance pay, and the real damage has not fully surfaced yet. Last year's Q3 GDP growth of 4.3%? He bluntly calls it the "mother of illusions," as people's real income has long stagnated. Stimulating consumption through tax cuts? It’s just borrowing from next year’s money in advance.
Most market predictions expect the Fed to cut rates 1-2 times this year, but Rosenberg doesn’t see it that way. He believes that once economic data truly worsens, market forces will overpower all expectations, and the Fed will have no choice but to implement large-scale easing. Will inflation really fade on its own? Or will hawks falter at a critical moment? An economic policy earthquake is already on the way.
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BearMarketBarber
· 01-08 00:48
Rosenberg is scaring people again, but to be honest... this time the data is indeed not very good.
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OnChainDetective
· 01-07 07:08
Wait, 125 basis points within a year? There must be whales front-running the move behind this number. They're still quietly suppressing the price now.
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CounterIndicator
· 01-05 19:51
Rosenberg is once again alarmist, but on the other hand... six months ago, I didn't expect layoffs to be so severe. Let's wait and see how the Fed gets pushed around by the market.
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GweiTooHigh
· 01-05 03:21
Damn, Rosenberg is predicting the end of the world again. This guy does this every time.
The Federal Reserve lowering rates 5 times a year? Come on, instead of waiting for rate cuts, it's better to get on BTC now.
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AirdropHunterXM
· 01-05 03:20
Rosenberg, this guy really dares to say it—unemployment rate hitting 6%, the Fed, the interest rate cut fanatic... feels like the crypto market is about to take off.
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HackerWhoCares
· 01-05 03:18
Bro, this analysis is spot on. I sensed it early, so I started accumulating BTC in October.
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SignatureCollector
· 01-05 03:17
Rosenberg's rhetoric sounds harsh, but does the Federal Reserve really dare to cut interest rates five times in a year? Anyway, BTC has already been betting on this, we'll see if it gets proven wrong by the end of the year.
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MeaninglessApe
· 01-05 03:12
Rosenberg, this guy really dares to speak out, but I feel like someone is saying this every year... Will the Federal Reserve really follow the script obediently?
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SerumSurfer
· 01-05 03:06
Rosenberg is starting to talk down again, but on the other hand... if the unemployment rate really hits 6%, can BTC break new highs?
#数字资产动态追踪 $BTC $ETH $PEPE
⚡Senior economist blasts: The US unemployment crisis is brewing, and the Federal Reserve may be forced to cut rates aggressively five times within a year!
Wall Street economist David Rosenberg recently dropped a bombshell: don’t be fooled by the calm surface of the US labor market; problems have already emerged beneath. He believes the unemployment rate isn’t cooling down but is actually collapsing, eventually hitting 6%. Once a recession is triggered, the Fed will have to slash interest rates by 125 basis points in 2026 — averaging about once a month.
Does the numbers seem less scary? An increase from 4% to 4.6% unemployment sounds mild. But the signals behind the scenes are terrifying: October’s layoffs rate hit a nearly one-year high, hiring speed plummeted, and ordinary people's confidence in employment prospects has returned to the worst pandemic levels. Rosenberg’s conclusion is straightforward: "These data point to an inevitable outcome — the unemployment rate will test 6%."
There’s also a heartbreaking detail: large-scale layoffs among white-collar workers are actually "packaged" with severance pay, and the real damage has not fully surfaced yet. Last year's Q3 GDP growth of 4.3%? He bluntly calls it the "mother of illusions," as people's real income has long stagnated. Stimulating consumption through tax cuts? It’s just borrowing from next year’s money in advance.
Most market predictions expect the Fed to cut rates 1-2 times this year, but Rosenberg doesn’t see it that way. He believes that once economic data truly worsens, market forces will overpower all expectations, and the Fed will have no choice but to implement large-scale easing. Will inflation really fade on its own? Or will hawks falter at a critical moment? An economic policy earthquake is already on the way.