2026-01-05 06:43:50

#2026年比特币行情展望 I have been walking this path for many years, from days of losing so much I couldn't sleep until midnight, to now being able to generate stable income. It’s not due to any extraordinary talent or insider information, but rather a set of trading logic that is as simple as it is effective.

My core principles are three:
① Never fully commit: Break positions into almost compulsive fragments, and cut losses immediately if floating loss reaches 2%
② Intraday restraint: Make at most 1 to 2 trades per day, only pursuing clearly confirmed opportunities
③ Mechanical execution: Use 3% stop loss, 5% take profit, follow the process like a machine, and keep emotions aside

Looking at the market where 90% of people lose money, their pitfalls are nothing more than these three: full position all-in, excessive leverage, stubbornly holding without stop loss. My approach is the opposite — so I’ve been living quite steadily all these years.

Compare this: the same 100,000 yuan entry, others choose to go all-in and gamble, ending up with a margin call and going back to zero. My method is to use only 20,000 as the base position → steady monthly return of 8%+ → annualized return of over 150% when compounded. That’s the difference.

The essence of the futures market is a survival contest, not a casino. Those who finally manage to pocket profits are invariably the ones who survive until the end. The secret to survival, in essence, is to optimize risk management to the extreme, ensuring that the cost of each failed trade is within an acceptable range. This way, even bad luck can’t break through the defenses.

BTC0.27%

View Original

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.

18 Likes

Reward
18
7
Repost
Share

Comment

0/400

AllInAlice

· 01-07 11:53

That's exactly right, that's the logic. Those who are fully invested have long been eliminated; only the survival experts are left.

View OriginalReply0

GasFeeCrybaby

· 01-05 17:05

Bro, this set of logic is indeed brilliant. That's how I did it too, and I didn't get wiped out and go bankrupt. Most of the 90% of people are just greedy and can't get rich in one bite; they insist on taking a gamble, and as a result, the market teaches them a lesson. The key is to stay alive—if you're alive, there's still a chance.

View OriginalReply0

AltcoinHunter

· 01-05 07:09

An annualized return of 150% sounds really amazing, but to be honest, I still don't believe it... With such a solid logic, why don't I see you sharing your wins every day?

View OriginalReply0

CoffeeNFTrader

· 01-05 07:05

That's right, those who go all-in with full positions are just working for the exchange. That's how I play; staying alive is the hard truth.

View OriginalReply0

HalfPositionRunner

· 01-05 07:00

Sounds good, but how many people can actually stick to a 2% stop-loss? I've seen too many people talk about risk management, but as soon as they lose money, they start self-hypnotizing themselves to hold on stubbornly.

View OriginalReply0

DaoResearcher

· 01-05 06:59

From the data performance perspective, this guy's risk management model is essentially a naive application of the Kelly formula—based on trading logic at the white paper level, where position size is directly linked to the win rate. It is worth noting that his set parameters of 2% stop loss and 5% take profit assume the validity of market microstructure, which actually has multiple solutions in high volatility environments. However, from historical backtesting data, it indeed outperformed 90% of participants, which is quite interesting—fundamentally, it's still an incentive compatibility issue, as most people simply cannot execute mechanically.

View OriginalReply0

GateUser-d4344eae