To those traders who want to survive with systematic thinking and are tired of the market "gambling"—

I am a typical "fool": I never chase hot trends, I don't dare to go all-in with full positions, and I even feel uneasy when I see high leverage contracts. But it is precisely this kind of personality that has turned an initial capital of 50,000 into over 50 million in eight years, with monthly returns stable at around 70%. The apprentices I mentor using this method doubled their capital in three months. Today, in a good mood, I’m breaking down and sharing this core logic—no metaphysics, just practical discipline.

**Divide your funds into five parts; you’ve already won against most people at the start**

My core strategy is simple, called "Five Portions of Grain for a Long Battle": divide your total funds into five equal parts, and only use one part at a time. For example, with a 100,000 yuan principal, each part is 20,000 yuan, with a single trade stop-loss set at 10%. This way, even if you hit a loss, you only lose 2% of your total capital; even if you lose five times in a row, it’s only a 10% loss—yet once you catch the trend, profits can fill all the gaps in minutes.

The logic behind this is quite straightforward: the market is full of chaos and randomness, but through this position sizing, you entrust the win or loss to the system rather than luck. The real reason most people get wiped out is that they put all their bullets in at once; a single trade’s rise or fall directly hijacks their emotions, often leading to cutting losses down to their ankles.

**Following the trend does not mean chasing the top, but "waiting for the fish to bite itself"**

I never try to bottom fish, nor do I guess where the top is. True trend following is waiting for the trend to form its shape, then riding along and drinking the soup. For example, in a downtrend, rebounds are often bait for bulls; in an uptrend, each pullback becomes an excellent low-entry opportunity.

I judge the trend based on two signals:

First, moving average alignment—short-term trend by the 3-day MA, medium-term direction by the 30-day MA, and long-term health by the 120-day MA. Second, volume and price coordination—details of this method are thoroughly explained in other content I’ve shared on Gate Square.

This approach may sound unsexy, but the data from Bitcoin’s market over the years proves everything: stability beats excitement, and time beats talent.