2026-01-05 22:26:10

Not everything can be pinned on the Fed, right? Markets are complicated—geopolitics, corporate earnings, global supply chains all play their part. Sure, monetary policy matters, but traders obsessing over every Fed move might be missing the bigger picture. What else is actually moving the needle?

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CrossChainMessenger

· 01-07 21:33

Let's put it this way, people who keep an eye on the Federal Reserve are a bit obsessive... The geopolitical situation blows up and they don't even blink?

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StakeHouseDirector

· 01-07 16:43

Speaking of which, the impact of geopolitics has indeed been underestimated. Many people are fixated on the Federal Reserve meeting minutes every day, but when chip supplies are cut off, the market immediately goes haywire, haha.

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ShitcoinArbitrageur

· 01-07 14:53

Haha, you're right. People who keep an eye on the Federal Reserve's meeting schedule all day are indeed a bit ridiculous.

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SatoshiHeir

· 01-07 10:34

It should be pointed out that this "multi-factor theory" is precisely the excuse most loved by fiat currency believers. On-chain data shows that each Fed action's market reaction exhibits a very high correlation—I've examined all historical data since 2008, and they can basically be explained by the currency over-issuance model. Geopolitics? Supply chains? They're just narrative packaging.

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HashRatePhilosopher

· 01-05 22:56

Ah, constantly watching Powell's speeches can indeed be distracting, but do you really dare to say that the supply chain influences the market more than interest rates? I don't think so...

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LiquidatedNotStirred

· 01-05 22:55

I've been annoyed for a long time constantly watching Powell... the supply chain is the real killer.

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BlockchainGriller

· 01-05 22:55

That's what they say, but we all know that the market trembles with just one word from the Fed.

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TrustMeBro

· 01-05 22:51

That's what they say, but we all know in our hearts that once Powell farts, the market will tremble... Geopolitics and such sound nice, but the real market crash isn't caused by the few minutes of rate cut expectations.

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SolidityJester

· 01-05 22:43

NGL, the Federal Reserve is definitely not omnipotent, but to be honest, most retail investors still only watch the Fed and don't want to bother with studying supply chains and geopolitical issues.

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PriceOracleFairy

· 01-05 22:42

nah fr tho, everyone's too busy watching fed dots when the *real* arbitrage is in the noise nobody's tracking. geopolitical shocks, earnings surprises, cross-chain correlation breakdowns... that's where alpha actually lives. but yeah, easier to blame Powell than do the work, innit

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