2026-01-08 20:26:19

An interesting phenomenon on Polymarket: a certain trading pair accounts for only 4.2% of the trading volume, but the user count accounts for 20%. What does this mean? Calculations show that the average trading volume per user is only 0.2 times the platform average.

In other words, this 20% of users contribute relatively little. Is it possible that many of these are wallets involved in free-riding or fake order accounts? This mismatch in user structure is something market participants should be cautious about. Truly active users should be able to contribute corresponding trading volume, rather than a large number of zombie accounts boosting user numbers.

View Original

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.

18 Likes

Reward
18
8
Repost
Share

Comment

0/400

RugDocScientist

· 14h ago

This data is indeed a bit suspicious—only 20% of users contribute to 4.2% of the trading volume? Clearly, something's fishy.

View OriginalReply0

ValidatorViking

· 01-10 12:59

nah this reeks of sybil attack patterns... seen this playbook before. 20% users pulling 4.2% volume? that's not just low engagement, that's literally network parasites inflating metrics. zombie wallets doing exactly what they're designed for — gaming the numbers. polymarket's validator set needs to be way more aggressive on this, can't let consensus get corrupted by junk participation

Reply0

MetaverseMortgage

· 01-10 00:46

Hmm, these numbers are a bit outrageous. Only 20% of users contribute to 4.2% of the trading volume. There must be some foul play.

View OriginalReply0

AirdropHunter007

· 01-08 20:55

Wow, looking at this data, it's outrageous. Only 20% of users contribute to 4.2% of the trading volume? Clearly, most are just exploiting the system.

View OriginalReply0

CryptoDouble-O-Seven

· 01-08 20:55

I was just saying that the prediction market is too complicated; only 20% of users contribute 4.2% of the trading volume... This ratio clearly indicates a problem, and it's definitely filled with accounts that are being exploited.

View OriginalReply0

TokenAlchemist

· 01-08 20:43

0.2x coefficient screams inefficiency vector tbh... classic sybil farming pattern we've seen across every prediction market fork. polymarket's user metrics are basically theater at this point ngl

Reply0

MeaninglessApe

· 01-08 20:41

Hmm, this data is a bit suspicious. Only 20% of the people contribute 4.2% of the volume? Definitely a pile of zombie accounts.

View OriginalReply0

ProofOfNothing