QAI faces a large unlock challenge, $17.72 million worth of tokens will be released in one week

QuantixAI (QAI) is about to experience an important token unlock event. According to the latest news, approximately 250,000 QAI tokens will be unlocked at 0:00 Beijing time on January 18, valued at around $17.72 million. This scale of unlock is quite significant and may pose a short-term challenge to the project’s market performance.

How Big Is the Unlock Scale

Impact Relative to Circulating Supply

Currently, QAI has a circulating supply of only 803,852 tokens. The 250,000 tokens to be unlocked this time represent about 31% of the existing circulating supply. This means that in one week, the circulating amount of QAI will increase from about 800,000 to 1.05 million.

Project Fundamentals Background

QAI launched in April 2024, currently ranked 408th by market cap, with a market cap of approximately $56.98 million. The total supply of the project is 10 million tokens, with only 8.04% currently in circulation, indicating that a large portion of tokens are still locked. This supply structure suggests that there will be multiple future unlock events.

Market Performance and Unlock Correlation

Recent Price Trends

QAI is currently priced at $70.88, with recent performance showing divergence:

• Short-term (7 days): +5.48%
• Medium-term (30 days): -24.64%
• 24 hours: nearly flat, up only 0.01%

The 24-hour trading volume is about $6.05 million, which is moderate relative to its market cap.

Market Sentiment Before Unlock

From a technical perspective, QAI has rebounded in the past 7 days, but the monthly trend remains downward. The announcement of a large unlock may have been partially priced in by the market, but the actual market reaction at the time of unlock still needs to be observed. Typically, such events can lead to two possible outcomes: one, the market has already priced in the risk, resulting in a smooth unlock; or two, there may be short-term pressure, followed by gradual absorption.

Key Points to Watch

Factors to Monitor in the Short Term

• Price performance at the time of unlock: Whether it can hold current levels is an important reference
• Changes in trading volume: Whether trading volume significantly increases before and after the unlock
• Future unlock plans: With only 8% in circulation out of a total supply of 10 million, understanding the upcoming unlock schedule is crucial
• Project developments: When tokens face selling pressure, the project’s own progress becomes even more important

Personal Opinion

Large unlock events are a test for projects with smaller market caps. Since QAI’s circulating supply is already limited, a 31% increase in a short period could create selling pressure. However, from another perspective, if the project team and ecosystem can absorb this liquidity, it may also indicate market confidence in the project. The key depends on subsequent market acceptance.

Summary

QAI is about to face a liquidity test, with 250,000 tokens unlocking, equivalent to one-third of the current circulating supply. This scale of unlock cannot be ignored and may exert short-term pressure on the price. However, considering the supply structure, QAI still has a large amount of tokens to be released, and this unlock is just one phase of the project’s long-term token release plan. Investors should pay attention to short-term unlock risks while also evaluating the project’s long-term development potential and comprehensive token release schedule. The future market performance will depend on whether ecosystem demand can absorb this additional liquidity.