#2026年比特币价格展望 In the cold winter of 2018, I rented a basement in Shenzhen, a six-square-meter space, passing the days without heating by relying on an electric quilt.

My bank account only had 300 yuan, working as a waiter during the day to save money, and studying market trends by watching K-line charts at night.

Seven years have passed, and now there are over 22 million in my account.

It's not luck that has favored me, but four ironclad rules I learned from falling in the market.

**Rule 1: After a rapid surge, there will inevitably be a sell-off**

During the 2018 bull market, when I saw a shanzhai coin rise 320% in ten days, I went all-in with 80,000 yuan. It plummeted 18% on the third day, losing 60,000 yuan in a week.

Only later did I understand the pattern: when the price surges more than 30%, then consolidates for 3 to 5 days before a volume-driven 15% drop, that’s a signal that the market maker is retreating.

I’ve seen this pattern many times; each time, it’s an opportunity to escape.

**Rule 2: Consolidation at high levels is not the bottom**

In 2019, I held mainstream coins during consolidation, but after two months of no movement, I added leverage to buy more, only to be cut in half.

Later, I realized: if consolidation lasts over 20 days, turnover is less than 2%, and the price deviates more than 20% from the 20-day moving average, that’s a sign of distribution.

Now, when my system detects this pattern, I reduce my holdings immediately.

**Rule 3: Volume reveals the truth at the bottom**

During the crash on March 12, 2020, I rushed in to buy the dip on $LINK, but got trapped.

The real bottom isn’t the lowest price, but "shrinking volume consolidation combined with gentle volume increases over three consecutive days with small positive candles."

Last year, when $BTC showed this pattern at around 25,000, I went all-in, sold at 42,000, earning 5.8 million.

**Rule 4: Survival comes first**

To stay in this market long enough, you must learn restraint.

I always operate with half my capital, never leverage. I only buy $PEPE when volume increases fivefold, and I take profits immediately if the trend breaks. In the end, I earned 12 times my investment and successfully avoided subsequent crashes.

In crypto, it’s never about who is smarter, but who survives longer.

The market is always changing, but human nature never does. Stick to your principles, and you can go further.