2026-01-13 11:24:32

【Today Market Analysis】

Bitcoin's recent 1-hour rebound has extended again, but the problem is that the 4-hour downtrend structure is not yet complete. The phrase "incomplete structure" may seem simple, but in reality, it is the most critical basis for judging the market—many people overlook this point and end up frequently falling into traps.

We should continue to wait for the confirmation of the third 1-hour decline. Once confirmed, the target zone below is locked between 88,000 and 86,000. To clarify—our current focus on the decline is limited to a short-term adjustment at the 4-hour level. Once the decline reaches its bottom, the strategy should switch to going long.

The 15-minute cycle is characterized by frequent oscillations, with repeated ups and downs. For this kind of complex oscillating market, the key is to control leverage and position size. High leverage is not something everyone can handle. Keep observing in the short term; if the price breaks below 90,400, it can basically confirm that the 1-hour decline has started.

Ethereum's situation is similar but relatively weaker. If it breaks below 3,060 again, we should see a downward move below 3,000. Just be patient and wait; making money in this kind of market is not actually difficult in the end. The real trap is repeatedly trading within the oscillations. The 4-hour decline target for Ethereum remains in the 2,800 to 2,900 range.

Three key points: Do not trade frequently in oscillations, do not trade frequently in oscillations, do not trade frequently in oscillations.

BTC1,29%

ETH0,88%

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SolidityNewbie

· 3h ago

The structure isn't complete yet, and jumping in is really asking for trouble. --- That's right, nine out of ten people who repeatedly trade in a volatile market get liquidated. --- Once the range between 88000 and 86000 is confirmed, it's time to enter the market. For now, let's stay on the sidelines. --- High leverage isn't for everyone; I've seen too many people go all-in and get wrecked. --- Ethereum is so weak this wave; let's wait until below 3000 to reconsider. --- Saying this three times is a bit harsh, but indeed, in a volatile market, caution is necessary. --- Only breaking 90400 can truly confirm the start of a decline; right now, it's just a back-and-forth. --- Having a complete structure—those who understand, understand; those who don't, will always fall into traps.

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ProxyCollector

· 3h ago

An incomplete structure is really the biggest pitfall; so many people get trapped here. Simple to operate, but maintaining the right mindset is difficult. During volatility, a sudden rush of reckless trades can wipe everything out. Breaking 90,400 basically means you can get in; just wait for this move. It's that old saying again: frequent trading is truly the killer; it feels worse than losing money. When should the bullish strategy switch? The key is whether 88,000 to 86,000 can actually drop to the right levels. In short-term trading, it all depends on who can hold their nerve. What do you think?

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HodlAndChill

· 3h ago

Opening long positions before the structure is complete—that's why I always see people get liquidated. Repeated trading in volatile swings is really suicidal. No matter how many times I say it, some people still fall into the trap. Once 90400 is broken, it's time to watch. Patience and waiting are much better than reckless trading. High leverage? It's not that I look down on it; really, not everyone can handle it. Ethereum is extremely weak in this wave. Better to observe first and not rush into the market.

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AlwaysAnon

· 3h ago

Structure is really a learned skill; most people fail because they don't understand these two words. Repeatedly trading within the volatility is basically suicide; every time, you can see someone getting cut like that. 88,000 to 86,000, just wait and see. Whether this wave can hold at 90,400 is really the key. Ethereum is relatively weak; holding the 2800-2900 range is essential.

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LiquidationOracle

· 3h ago

If you start浪 without completing the structure, you're just asking for trouble. I've seen too many retail investors like this long ago. It sounds simple, but 99% of people can't hold their nerve when actually trading; being impulsive is a common problem. Lying flat during volatility is the ultimate trick, but some people keep trading non-stop. I've already marked the 88,000 region; now it's just a matter of whether it can reach that point. Leverage is not for everyone; I've seen many people get liquidated overnight. Can the long strategy come faster? I'm getting a bit impatient waiting. Ethereum's weakness is unprecedented; if the 3000 level breaks, it will be interesting. One, two, three times, are you reciting to a mirror? I used to be unable to change the habit of trading repeatedly.

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GamefiGreenie

· 3h ago

The structure wasn't completed before forcing it, no wonder you're trapped, brothers. --- Breaking the key level at 90400 is really the end. Watching it closely. --- Waiting for the third dip again? I've heard this trick three thousand times. --- Leverage is really the fastest way to cut leeks, a lesson learned through blood and tears. --- What are people who frequently trade during volatility doing now? I can't figure it out. --- Will Ethereum drop below 3000? Is that real? --- Saying it three times won't help; some people still go all-in during volatility. --- Ignore the move from 88000 to 86000; you won't be able to catch it.

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LightningSentry

· 4h ago

An incomplete structure is a trap; we have to wait and see again this time. People who keep repeating the same actions are going to suffer losses. I see many couldn't resist. The 88,000 level is really important; if it doesn't break, we still have to wait. High leverage really can't be handled; it has cost many people dearly. Once the 3060 breaks, it might test 3000. Ethereum is a bit weak this wave. In volatile markets, it's easiest to go from rich to negative; controlling position size is key. It's time to be patient again; the most testing moment for your mindset is here.

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