The recent correction of $RIVER is actually quite understandable. After an extreme increase of 600%, the market needs to digest these gains, with three simultaneous factors at play: first, a normal technical pullback; second, the dual impact of profit-taking and liquidation from high leverage longs; third, a synchronized downward movement of the overall market. But this does not mean the project's fundamentals are flawed—many people confuse price fluctuations with value destruction.

Looking at the current phase, it is highly likely that the price will continue to fluctuate at high levels or test new lows in the short term. The key support level is at $1,416, and it’s even possible that the price may retest $1,213. Unless satUSD’s TVL truly explodes or there is a major ecosystem integration announcement, it’s unlikely to quickly break above $22. This is a typical shakeout after reaching a new high. Patient investors should wait for clear signs of a trend reversal and fundamental data confirmation.

But from a different perspective, $RIVER, as a leading player in chain abstraction and Bitcoin-native stablecoins, is in a track that is becoming increasingly important within the Bitcoin ecosystem. Arthur Hayes’s endorsement is not empty talk, and after mechanism upgrades, resistance to market manipulation has increased. If satUSD truly gains volume and its circulation surpasses 100 million, looking back, there is still room for a double in value at this price level.

The key is to recognize the current state: this is a period of high volatility and high risk. Chasing the top can easily lead to being caught in a trap. Instead of frequent trading, it’s better to wait for clear signs of a trend reversal and fundamental data confirmation before entering. Risks and opportunities often coexist at the same time—it's all about having the right vision.