Colloquial Blockchain Morning Report: The probability that Ethereum's market cap this year drops out of the top two on Polymarket rises to 59%

白话区块链 · 2026-03-30T00:51:41+00:00

Recently, the crypto market sentiment has been subdued, with major CEX and DEX data showing bearish signals for BTC and ETH. Ethereum's market cap has a 59% probability of falling out of the top two, and Bitcoin faces the risk of six consecutive months of decline. El Salvador's Bitcoin reserves have increased, while the US may tighten crypto regulations.

白话区块链

2026-03-30 00:51:41

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The probability of “Ethereum’s market value falling out of the top two this year” on Polymarket has risen to 59%;
Current funding rates on mainstream CEX and DEX show BTC and ETH are continuously in a bearish range, with market sentiment low;
Bitcoin may record its second consecutive six-month decline in history, following a previous six-month decline that led to a 208% surge;
Ethereum’s net supply increased by 81,790.88 coins in the past 30 days;
Coin Center: If the CLARITY Act is not passed, the U.S. government may strengthen crypto regulation again in the future;
El Salvador’s Bitcoin reserves have increased to 7,605.37 coins, valued at approximately $506 million;
Polls show that Trump’s job dissatisfaction rate has risen to 59%, a new high during his term;
The stock markets in Japan and South Korea opened significantly lower on Monday;
Walmart’s OnePay has added more than ten new types of cryptocurrencies.

ETH4,22%

BTC1,95%

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