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February CPI Falls Short of Expectations Amid Surging Oil Prices: Projecting the Fed’s Rate Cut Path and Implications for Crypto

February CPI Falls Short of Expectations Amid Surging Oil Prices: Projecting the Fed’s Rate Cut Path and Implications for Crypto

US February CPI dropped to 2.4%, falling short of expectations. However, geopolitical tensions have driven up oil prices, dampening market risk appetite. This article explores the transmission mechanisms between inflation, oil prices, and the crypto market, and provides insights into potential future developments.

Blog Team2026-03-13

Federal Reserve March 18 Rate Decision Preview: Oil Price Shock and Polymarket’s 98% Probability of No Rate Cut Analyzed

Federal Reserve March 18 Rate Decision Preview: Oil Price Shock and Polymarket’s 98% Probability of No Rate Cut Analyzed

On the eve of the March 18 FOMC meeting, Polymarket indicates a 98% probability that interest rates will remain unchanged. This article examines how rising oil prices are emerging as a new variable in inflation, and explores their multifaceted impact on crypto liquidity across various scenarios.

Blog Team2026-03-12

Analysis of the Macroeconomic Impact of the February US CPI Release: March Rate Cut Probability Drops Below 1%

Analysis of the Macroeconomic Impact of the February US CPI Release: March Rate Cut Probability Drops Below 1%

U.S. February CPI rose 2.4% year-over-year, in line with expectations, but the probability of a rate cut in March has dropped to just 0.7%. Geopolitical tensions have driven up oil prices, pushing market expectations for a rate cut back to September. As a result, the crypto market remains under pressure and is awaiting further developments.

Blog Team2026-03-12

Fed March Meeting Preview: With "No Rate Cut" Now the Consensus, How Will the Crypto Market Respond?

Fed March Meeting Preview: With "No Rate Cut" Now the Consensus, How Will the Crypto Market Respond?

In the days leading up to the March 17–18 FOMC meeting, market expectations for a rate cut dropped sharply. This article examines how the structural reversal in the interest rate trajectory deeply impacts liquidity and risk appetite in the crypto market.

Blog Team2026-03-11

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Intensifying Divisions Within the Fed: Two Members Voted for a Rate Cut in January—What Will the March Meeting Signal?

Intensifying Divisions Within the Fed: Two Members Voted for a Rate Cut in January—What Will the March Meeting Signal?

At the Federal Reserve’s January meeting, two members voted in favor of a rate cut—the deepest internal division since consensus was established. This article unpacks the roots of this split, its potential costs, and the structural impact on the crypto market.

Blog Team2026-03-10

A Cost Optimization Guide for High-Frequency Traders: How Gate’s VIP Fee Structure and Latest Promotions Are Redefining Trading Advantages

A Cost Optimization Guide for High-Frequency Traders: How Gate’s VIP Fee Structure and Latest Promotions Are Redefining Trading Advantages

A Must-Read for High-Frequency Traders: How Gate VIP’s Tiered Fee Structure Can Cut Your Costs. Discover how to turn your holdings and trading volume into exclusive airdrops and investment premiums by leveraging the latest Gate promotions. Using data as of March 2026, this article provides a quantitative analysis of the core benefits of Gate VIP and strategies for leveling up you

Blog Team2026-03-10

FOMC March 18 Meeting Countdown: Analyzing Crypto Bottom-Fishing Strategies and Market Impact Amid No Rate Cut Expectations

FOMC March 18 Meeting Countdown: Analyzing Crypto Bottom-Fishing Strategies and Market Impact Amid No Rate Cut Expectations

On the eve of the March 18 FOMC meeting, markets are pricing in a 95% probability that interest rates will remain unchanged. Drawing on historical data and liquidity models, this article explores how different policy decisions could impact Bitcoin and altcoins at various levels, offering valuable insights for crypto investors making informed decisions.

Blog Team2026-03-09

How Will Middle East Conflict Reshape the Fed’s Rate Cut Playbook? What Does It Mean for the Crypto Market in 2026?

How Will Middle East Conflict Reshape the Fed’s Rate Cut Playbook? What Does It Mean for the Crypto Market in 2026?

Rising tensions in the Middle East are driving up oil prices, while expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts are cooling. This article offers an in-depth analysis of how geopolitical conflicts are reshaping the interest rate outlook and examines the structural impact these changes could have on the crypto market through 2026.

Blog Team2026-03-03

Weekly Macro Outlook: Nonfarm Payrolls, Beige Book, and Middle East Tensions—Implications for Risk Assets and the Crypto Market

Weekly Macro Outlook: Nonfarm Payrolls, Beige Book, and Middle East Tensions—Implications for Risk Assets and the Crypto Market

After tensions escalated in Iran, the market is now focused on this week’s Nonfarm Payroll report and the Federal Reserve’s Beige Book. We analyze how employment data could impact rate cut expectations, whether geopolitical risks might drive oil prices higher, and explore the potential ripple effects on the crypto market.

Blog Team2026-03-02