XRP is expected to stay resilient against volatility from the Iran war; in October, it could break through $2.2.

Gate News reports that since 2026, the XRP price has experienced fluctuations. It declined nearly 25% from the beginning of the year, with a low of $1.16, and then briefly rebounded to $1.60. However, most of the time, it has been trading between $1.35 and $1.45. Despite market uncertainty triggered by the Iran war, Bitcoin increased by 8.3%, Ethereum by 14.4%, and XRP’s performance has been relatively cautious, with only a modest rise of 1.8%.

Analysts point out that XRP price volatility reflects the influence of short-term market sentiment, while long-term demand at the corporate and institutional levels continues to steadily accumulate. For example, Ripple has tested the stablecoin RLUSD for cross-border trade finance within Singapore’s regulatory sandbox, partnered with Unloq to automate payments, and settled funds through the XRP Ledger—demonstrating its focus on strengthening institutional applications rather than retail trading scenarios.

Additionally, Evernorth Holdings continues to expand its XRP asset management capabilities. Despite pressure on market valuations, the company is still advancing with a SPAC listing and leveraging yields generated from its XRP reserves. Ripple has obtained a financial services license in Australia and expanded its operations in Brazil, covering payments, custody, and funds management, thereby providing compliant infrastructure for markets in Asia-Pacific and Latin America.

Regarding price forecasts, CoinCodex’s algorithm indicates that XRP is expected to reach a peak of $1.68 in June and potentially break above $2.21 in October. The overall upside potential for the year remains significant, but in the short term, it remains sensitive to war-related news. As institutional applications and compliant infrastructure continue to develop, XRP is expected to steadily absorb market demand over the coming months and gradually form an upward trend.

Overall, although XRP faces price fluctuations driven by war-related factors, its long-term value and potential for growth remain attractive due to institutional adoption and infrastructure development. Investors should pay attention to the interaction between short-term volatility and mid- to long-term demand.