ChainCatcher message, according to Jinshi reports, analyst Justin Low pointed out that due to the previous government shutdown, the November CPI report will be incomplete and may only report the price level for November. Limited data reduces the reliability of the report, causing uncertainty in monthly inflation details. Although inflation may slow down, tariffs have boosted core commodity prices, but seasonal discounts have limited price increases. The market may react briefly, but incomplete data limits the lasting impact on Federal Reserve expectations.

In the cryptocurrency market, traders often focus on the Federal Reserve, but in fact, the Bank of Japan's impact on Bitcoin is equally crucial. The reason is that Japan has long been a core node in the global liquidity system, and changes in its monetary policy often first impact high-risk assets, with Bitcoin usually being the first to react. For a long time, Japan maintained near-zero or even negative interest rates, making the yen one of the lowest-cost funding currencies worldwide. This environment has given rise to a massive "yen arbitrage trading" industry. Institutional investors borrow yen at low cost, then exchange it for US dollars or euros to invest in stocks, credit, emerging markets, and high-yield assets like cryptocurrencies. When the financing environment is loose, these funds provide sustained liquidity support for high-volatility assets such as Bitcoin.

Recently, a high-severity security vulnerability disclosed in React server components has raised significant industry concern. The vulnerability, numbered CVE-2025-55182 and also known as React2Shell, has been actively exploited by multiple threat groups, affecting thousands of websites including cryptocurrency platforms, putting user assets at direct risk. This vulnerability allows attackers to execute remote code on affected servers without authentication. The React team publicly disclosed the issue on December 3rd, rating its severity at the highest level. Subsequently, Google Threat Intelligence Group (GTIG) confirmed that the vulnerability has been rapidly weaponized in real-world environments, involving both profit-motivated hackers and suspected state-sponsored attacks, targeting cloud-deployed, unpatched React and Next.js applications.

Recently, a type of front-end attack targeting cryptocurrency users has been spreading rapidly. According to the cybersecurity non-profit organization Security Alliance (SEAL), hackers are exploiting a newly discovered vulnerability in the open-source front-end JavaScript library React to implant cryptocurrency theft programs into legitimate websites, with a significant increase in related attack cases. React is one of the most mainstream web front-end frameworks currently, widely used to build various websites and web applications. On December 3rd, React's official team disclosed that a serious security vulnerability, numbered CVE-2025-55182, was discovered by white-hat hacker Lachlan Davidson. This vulnerability allows unauthenticated remote code execution, enabling attackers to inject and execute malicious code on the website's front end.

Odaily Planet Daily reports that Negentropic, co-founder of Glassnode, posted an analysis on the X platform about the impact of Japan's interest rate hikes. He pointed out that what the market fears is not tightening but uncertainty. Sometimes, market volatility can actually be an opportunity. Japan's central bank normalization has brought clarity to the global capital markets, and Bitcoin often thrives after experiencing policy pressure. Previous analyses suggested that Japan's interest rate hikes might not trigger risk-averse sentiment in the crypto market. First, speculators currently hold a net long (bullish) position in the Japanese yen, so it is unlikely they will react quickly to the Bank of Japan's rate hikes. Secondly, Japan's government bond yields have continued to rise this year, with both short-term and long-term yield curves reaching multi-decade highs. The upcoming rate hikes reflect that official interest rates are catching up with market levels, indicating a lower likelihood of risk-avoidance sentiment emerging by the end of the year.

PANews December 13 News, according to CoinDesk, Japan's last interest rate hike caused the yen to rise, triggering a sharp increase in market risk aversion sentiment, which led to Bitcoin prices falling from about $65,000 to $50,000. However, the upcoming yen interest rate hike may not trigger risk aversion in the crypto market for two reasons: First, speculators currently hold a net long (bullish) position in yen, making it unlikely for them to react quickly to the Bank of Japan's rate hike; second, Japan's government bond yields have continued to climb this year, with both short-term and long-term yields hitting multi-decade highs. Therefore, the upcoming rate increase reflects that official interest rates are catching up with market trends. Meanwhile, this week, the Federal Reserve lowered interest rates by 25 basis points while introducing liquidity measures, bringing rates to their lowest level in three years. Overall, these factors indicate a clear unwind of yen arbitrage positions and a year-end risk aversion sentiment.

Sigma Capital CEO Vineet Budki stated that the four-year cycle of encryption assets has not ended, and a 70% fall in the Bear Market may occur in the future. Holders react strongly to negative signals, but he remains optimistic about the long-term prospects of Bitcoin, expecting it to reach $1 million within ten years.

Gate News Bot news, September 22, according to CoinMarketCap data, as of the time of writing, BOT (Hyperbot) is currently priced at $0.16, with a rise of 25.35% in the last 24 hours, reaching a high of $0.20 and a low of $0.08. The current market capitalization is approximately $19.5 million, an increase of $3.94 million from yesterday. Hyperbot is an AI-driven unified entry platform for perpetual contract DEX, providing features such as data, whale tracking, and copy trading. It offers users the ability to react in real-time to anomalies on the Hyperliquid chain within 0.3 seconds, as well as instant Telegram alerts, and over 200 conditional order templates. The platform also includes a drag-and-drop high-frequency trading bot builder, a visual backtesting feature with win rate analysis, and tools like long signal amplifiers.

Jin10 data reported on September 15, Rothschild Asset Management analyst Michael Nizard stated in a report that the bond market did not react with panic to Fitch's downgrade of France's credit rating. The head of the multi-asset and overlay strategies department pointed out that the recent rise in the yield of French 10-year government bonds is due to investors' concerns about whether France can implement measures to reduce the fiscal deficit, thereby demanding a higher risk premium; however, the current yield is still far below the levels seen during the sovereign debt crisis. He stated, "Most investors still believe that French bonds are of good quality."

Jin10 data September 15th, investors are reluctant to establish new positions before the Fed's interest rate cut, thus U.S. Treasury yields remained stable or slightly declined during European afternoon trading. Exness analyst Van Ha Trinh stated in a report: "Investors are waiting to observe inflation dynamics and whether the Fed's guidance will further change expectations." This financial market strategist pointed out that if there are any surprises in the pace or scale of policy easing, yields could react sharply.

Odaily News scimitar capital co-founder zlex stated in a post on X that short positions have been established for SOL/ETH and SOL/BTC. On-chain data shows that Forward Industries (FORD) has completed about 90% of its order execution, and the market should react quickly. They executed approximately $1.5 billion in trades within 4 days, but their ability to further sell new shares and raise funds through ATM is limited. Considering the speed and scale of execution, along with a lack of clear follow-up demand, SOL is expected to weaken in the short term.

Jin10 data reported on August 6, the European Central Bank board member Holzmann stated: "At the last meeting, most of us agreed that monetary policy now needs to be primarily robust. After several rate cuts, we are currently at an expansionary level. For Europe and even globally, the neutral interest rate is likely to rise again, so our prudent approach is to keep rates unchanged, waiting for further economic developments, rather than trying to meet market expectations. We are not currently in a tightening state and should not react solely to short-term developments."

PANews, July 3rd news, according to Jin10 reports, analyst Joseph Richter stated that the market may react to the decrease in the unemployment rate, but this is only part of the overall situation. However, considering that the U-3 unemployment rate is crucial for the Federal Reserve's response function, its decrease may make rate cuts in July or even September off the table. This aligns with our view on the trend for the fourth quarter.

Gate News bot news indicates that market analysis suggests that crude oil prices will still react to geopolitical risks, with their trends often characterized by Fluctuation, being short-lived, and likely exaggerated.

Jin10 data reported on June 13, Piper Sandler analysts believe that market risks are rising rapidly following the attack on Iran by Israel. Considering the complacency in the market regarding economic risks prior to this week, investors need to be cautious. After so many macro risks have not been priced in over the past two months, combined with recent events, now is not the time to increase risk/beta/low-quality investments in the portfolio. Looking ahead, the market is expected to react strongly to the gradual escalation and de-escalation of the situation in the Middle East.

BlockBeats News, on June 11, according to Coinglass data, if Bitcoin falls below $108,000, the cumulative liquidation strength of mainstream CEXs will reach 1.143 billion. On the contrary, if Bitcoin breaks through $111,000, the cumulative liquidation strength of short orders on mainstream CEXs will reach 924 million. BlockBeats Note: The liquidation chart is not intended to show the exact number of contracts to be liquidated, or the exact value of the contracts being liquidated. The bars on the liquidation chart show the importance of each liquidation cluster relative to its proximity, i.e., its strength. Therefore, the liquidation chart shows the extent to which the underlying price will be affected when it reaches a certain position. A higher "liquidation bar" indicates that the price will react more strongly to the liquidity wave.

Valentin Fournier, chief research analyst at BRN, believes that defensive measures are necessary given the accumulation of bearish signals in the crypto market, including declining ETF inflows, weakening market momentum, and a surge in the number of crypto IPOs, indicating that profit-taking will occur in the near future. "Despite strong macro data and easing inflation, the crypto market has failed to react, with the surge in IPO activity suggesting a valuation bubble and insiders' willingness to exit at a time of high prices," Fournier said. Coupled with reduced ETF inflows and falling prices, we see this as a sign of market weakness and running out of fuel. We are de-risking and moving to a more defensive stance as we expect the market to gradually decline and long-term investors to re-enter. ”

On June 3, when judging the impact of tariffs on inflation, the standard economic model is straightforward: this should be a one-time price increase. But the Federal Reserve's Bostic said Tuesday that the uncertainty of the Trump administration's tariffs and fast-changing policies make the situation more complicated and less clear than the textbooks suggest. "The textbook concept of tariffs is...... The tariff is levied only once, and everyone knows what it is. "It's not the environment we've been in for the last few months, so there's a question of how people are going to react – to accept a tariff policy change that will last a long time." Bostic said his main concern is how this long-term, gradual shift in tariff policy will affect business and consumer behavior. If businesses and households start to anticipate continued tariff adjustments, it could lead to more persistent inflationary pressures.

On May 29, on Wednesday, U.S. President Trump expressed hesitation about whether to sanction Russia over the conflict in Ukraine, saying that he did not want the sanctions to affect the ceasefire. "If I think I'm close to a deal, I don't want to do it, so as not to mess it up," Trump said at the White House. Trump also said that Russian President Vladimir Putin may be interested in delaying talks on a ceasefire in the war in Ukraine and expressed disappointment with Russia's recent bombing. "We're going to have to figure out if he's using us, and if so, we're going to react differently," Trump said. ”

On April 15, Jin10 reported that Francesco Pesole, an analyst at ING, stated in a report that Canadian inflation data is expected to rise, which may bolster expectations that the Central Bank of Canada will pause interest rate cuts on Wednesday, but the Canadian dollar may not react much. The USD/CAD exchange rate is still driven by the global stock markets and the confidence crisis in the dollar, with the exchange rate 2% below its short-term fair value. This completely aligns with the special risk premium in the dollar due to recent turmoil in the US markets. ING expects it to remain below 1.40 in the near term.

Analyst Chris Anstey stated that although we have said the market might ignore the CPI, the market did indeed react. The two-year U.S. Treasury yield fell to an intraday low and is currently down about 8 basis points to 3.83%. For Federal Reserve policymakers, inflation seems to be on a constructive track at least until March before any tariff increases.

The Indian rupee performed well last month but will face obstacles as the White House is set to announce reciprocal tariffs. The weak dollar and the policies of the Reserve Bank of India have boosted the rupee, but U.S. trade policies may bring uncertainty. Predictions indicate that the Exchange Rate will range between 85-89, but it may be reassessed after the tariff announcement. The Reserve Bank of India may respond to the forex market's reaction, with traders predicting that the rupee may be allowed to depreciate significantly to prevent negative impacts.

The BTC market is in a bullish divergence technical pattern, indicating that although the price is falling, selling pressure is weakening, which may herald a reversal of the Bull Market. Wednesday's US inflation data is expected to boost risk assets, with concerns about Trump's policies and the US economy leading to a recent decline in BTC prices. The low of $80,000 formed on Tuesday is a relatively stronger low in the Relative Strength Index, supporting the judgment of a bullish divergence. This situation emerged before the release of the February CPI data in the US, implying that the market is prepared to react positively to potential good data.

BlockBeats news, on March 7, top trader Eugene Ng Ah Sio wrote that 'Short Ethereum at the price of $2170 - don't understand why the market did not react to the 'nuclear-style drop', but since the best-case scenario announcement is unlikely to happen later today, I'll seize this opportunity. The basic situation is that ETH will eventually fall below $2000, but for now, it's just a small profit-taking operation.

In the afternoon, the A-share market suddenly fell, possibly because the speculative theme is coming to an end, with artificial intelligence, Computing Power, and other zones showing amazing gains, leading to significant selling pressure when cashing out; the four major banks reaching new highs are suppressing market risk appetite, leading to profit-taking in thematic stocks; approaching the disclosure period of annual reports, the market may react in advance; the larger ETF shares generally trend downwards.

Trump is considering the extensive use of tariffs. The Fed faces a key question: to what extent will any price pump stimulate the public's expectations of higher inflation? The inflation outlook will determine whether the Fed restores interest rate cuts, and the threat of Trump's tariff increases will affect this year's inflation outlook. The Fed may react differently after the tariff hike takes effect, and is expected to be more inclined to oppose tariff increases than in the previous round.

The Lyon report points out that the preliminary performance of China Merchants Bank was stable last year, and the market is expected to react positively. The stable and reliable record of CMB is highly appreciated by investors, striving to achieve a profitable rise. The bank's A-share dividend yield is 5%, while the H-share is 5.4%. The bank believes that CMB's A-shares are more attractive. Although there are multiple uncertainties in 2025, the forecasted profit rise rate of CMB is 3.5%. Lyon maintains an "outperform" rating and sets a target price of 43.8 Hong Kong dollars for CMB's H-shares.

On December 19th, Jinshi Data, analyst Catarina said that Powell said that some people did take a very preliminary step at this meeting, beginning to incorporate a highly conditional estimate of policy into their forecasts. This represents a shift compared to previous meetings. Powell had previously emphasized repeatedly that the Fed would not react until policy was almost or fully in place. Trump has not even taken office yet, but some Fed officials have already begun to incorporate potential policies.

Golden Ten data, November 17th news, the Shenwan Hongyuan research report stated that in a market dominated by trading games, the market may temporarily not react to some changes in fundamentals and policies. However, the game also needs to respect the rules and follow the trend. In the market of trading games, the guiding significance of cost-performance ratio index for the short- to medium-term trend is enhanced. If the logic deduction of the Bull Market cannot be carried out in one go, then the current market is in a historically low cost-performance ratio area. The short-term market still has some residual heat, but as the year-end verification period approaches, the market may face adjustment pressure.

QCP Capital released a BTC research report, stating that the volatility of BTC did not react significantly after reaching a new high. The market has prepared for a pump, and the basis has reached the highest point in seven months. While maintaining a bullish attitude, caution is exercised towards pullbacks from leveraged liquidation, and it is expected that the spot market will oscillate at high levels in the short term, following the impact of important macro events this week.

On November 8th, Jinshi Data reported that LHMeyer's analyst wrote that Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's speech provided little new information, but offered a clue as to how the Fed is considering the December decision. Powell emphasized that the Fed would not react to the expected policies of the Trump administration (which are believed to potentially trigger inflation), but would focus on current data. This indicates that the Fed has retained the freedom to continue cutting interest rates. Analysts believe that the Fed is most likely to cut interest rates by 25 basis points again next month.

Jinsandata News on October 30th, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group stated that if the fiscal plan is credible, the pound may react positively to the budget announced by the UK Labour Party government tonight. Analyst Harupani of the bank said that it is expected that the UK Chancellor of the Exchequer, Rives, will announce tax increases to help alleviate the budget deficit and increase government spending. The government will change its self-imposed debt rules. This will increase borrowing capacity and significantly increase long-term investment. Ultimately, this will have a positive impact on the supply side of the economy and should increase the potential growth rate of the economy over time.

On October 21, Jinshi Data News, strategists from Morgan Stanley's research department stated that they maintained a neutral view on the duration of US Treasury bonds and the shape of the yield curve before the US election. They stated, 'Once investors see the election results and react, the interest rate market may price risk premiums around new baselines for the future.' They said that investors' views after the election may be 'very different' from the current ones. Duration refers to bonds that are more sensitive to interest rate changes, usually longer-term bonds.

Jinshi Data News on October 17th, Deutsche Bank forex analyst Plevkov said in a report that if European Central Bank President Lagarde shows unexpectedly strong concerns about the economy at Thursday's meeting, the euro may decline. This would support market expectations of a rapid interest rate cut in the coming months. Although there are reasons to suggest that the European Central Bank may slow down the pace of interest rate cuts after the expected rate cut on Thursday, concerns about the economic outlook may prevail. It can be imagined that the risk of the euro against the US dollar today lies in the downside. In the coming weeks, the euro may react sensitively to weak data.

An Israeli drone attack on a checkpoint in the Wazani area of southern Lebanon has resulted in the death of a soldier. Since the escalation of conflict between Israel and Hezbollah last year, at least 11 soldiers have died and 20 have been injured in Lebanon. Due to the economic crisis and limited arsenal, the Lebanese army has not been too involved in the conflict. It is unknown how the Lebanese army would react if it were invaded by Israel on the ground.