Gate News reports that on March 17, on-chain data monitoring showed that a newly created wallet address wagered $100,000 betting on Sporting Portugal to defeat Bodø/Glimt, with Sporting Portugal currently having a 66% chance of winning. This match is the second leg of the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League Round of 16, with Sporting Portugal hosting the season's biggest dark horse, Bodø/Glimt, at home. In the first leg, Bodø/Glimt won decisively 3-0, and Sporting Portugal must win by at least 3 goals to overturn the deficit and advance, while Bodø/Glimt only needs to remain unbeaten to make history by reaching the Champions League quarter-finals for the first time.

In the Polymarket "UEFA Champions League Winner" prediction market, one account heavily bet $2.3 million, predicting Atalanta will not win the championship, with total bets reaching $3.1 million. The event contract trading volume has exceeded $287 million.

Kalshi prediction market platform announced it will offer a $1 billion reward to users who perfectly predict NCAA March Madness game outcomes, despite extremely low odds (1 in 120 billion). Relatively speaking, the best predictor will win $1 million, while an additional $1 million will be donated to charity. This event references a similar reward from Buffett, which has had no winners since 2014.

An account placed a $140,000 bet on Polymarket predicting the Warriors will win against the Wizards in an NBA regular season game, despite the account having already lost over $11 million. The game will take place at 7 AM today. The Warriors are ranked 9th in the West, while the Wizards are ranked second-to-last in the East.

Polymarket predicts that the trading volume for today's 21:00 League of Legends match between BLG and BFX will reach 986,000 USD. Major accounts betting on BLG's victory have respectively purchased 100,000 and 90,000 shares. The International Pioneer Championship features 8 teams in total, with matches using a BO5 format.

March 16 News: Prediction market Polymarket shows that bets on "U.S. military will not enter Iran before April" have surged significantly, with someone investing $83,600 to successfully raise the probability to 73%. Trump plans to establish an international coalition to ensure the security of the Strait of Hormuz; however, Gulf countries deny providing support for military operations. Despite Iran's attacks on Israel and U.S. military bases, the United States' response remains focused on maintaining freedom of navigation through the strait.

On March 16th, two Hyperliquid traders, Paul Wei and 100% Win Rate Low Drawdown, reached consensus on the profit-taking zone for BTC long positions, with the target set at $78,000. The former set take-profit orders in the $75,000 to $81,000 range, while the latter has pending orders in place. The two traders adopted different position-adding strategies and leverage choices, profiting amid volatility through pyramid position management.

On March 16, Polymarket data showed that an investor bet on a US-Iran ceasefire before July with an 88% win rate. Trump and US officials expressed skepticism toward negotiations, while Iran's foreign minister insisted they are not seeking a ceasefire. Oman and Egypt are attempting to restart communications, but the White House has not yet responded.

Gate News reports that on March 16, a prediction platform's event odds for "Oppenheimer to Win the Oscar for Best Picture" surged to 91% in a short time, with a 24-hour gain of 34%, and trading volume exceeding 3 million dollars. The 98th Academy Awards ceremony officially began at 8:00 AM Beijing time, with the entire ceremony lasting approximately 4 hours. The Oscar for Best Picture will be announced as the final award at around 11:10 AM.

Political market data shows that a certain address bet on the United States and Iran reaching a ceasefire before May, with current odds at 39.5%. The U.S. demands Iran cease attacks, warning that if Iran cuts energy supplies, it will face strong retaliation. Iran's new leader emphasizes maintaining stability and demands the U.S. halt military operations. This trader may be conducting swing trades based on evolving geopolitical developments.