Today's Bitcoin and Ethereum strategy sharing.

Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) strategy highlights
Key price range
Resistance level: $84,500-$86,000 (recent high and daily mid-line pressure)
Support level: $83,000 (short-term psychological barrier) → A drop could test $81,500-$81,600 (double bottom structure + 30-day moving average)
Current price: approximately $83,800 (below the moving average convergence area MA7/MA30)
Trading Signal
Long conditions: Price stabilizes above 83,950 USD (above MA7/MA30) and breaks through 86,000 USD with increased volume.
建空条件:反弹至84,500-85,500区间轻仓试空,止损设于86,000上方; If it falls below 83,000 and the amount can be magnified, look down at 81,500-80,500
Volatility Strategy: High sell and low buy in the range of 83,000-85,000, with a stop-loss outside the range by 2%.
Technical Indicators and Market Sentiment
The daily line has held the $81,000 defense line for three consecutive days, and the MACD histogram shows that the bullish strength is increasing but has not formed a clear trend.
The trading volume continues to shrink (364.09), significantly lower than the 5-day average volume (693.4), and there is a need to be wary of the risk of large orders crashing.
Ethereum (ETH/USDT) Strategy Highlights
Key price range
Resistance level: $1,840-$1,850 (short-term high + Fibonacci 38.2% retracement level)
Support level: $1,800 (psychological barrier) → A drop may test $1,750-$1,770 (daily low)
Current price level: approximately $1,813 (slight golden cross but below the moving average)
Trading Signal
Long Position Conditions: Buy on a pullback to the 1,750-1,770 range, must be accompanied by a 4-hour candlestick closing with a needle or volume stabilization signal, target 1,800-1,850.
Short conditions: Lightly short at the rebound to the 1,830-1,850 range, stop loss above 1,870, target 1,800→1,780→1,750
Swing Strategy: Operate within the 1,800-1,840 range, stop loss after breaking 1,860 or falling below 1,780.
Market Dynamics and Risks
The whale increased its holdings of ETH with an order at $1,894, and the on-chain address balance has increased, but the risk of high leverage operations is relatively high.
The 4-hour Bollinger Bands are opening downwards, and the MACD's bottom divergence indicates the possibility of an oversold rebound, but it requires volume support.
Comprehensive Operational Recommendations
Trend Following Strategy:
Bitcoin focuses on the $84,500 breakout situation, while Ethereum closely watches the $1,850 resistance, adding positions if it breaks through.
If the price breaks below the key support (BTC 83,000 / ETH 1,800), a small short position can be taken with strict stop-loss.
Risk Management:
Control the risk of a single transaction within 2% of the principal, with stop loss referencing 1-2% outside the support/resistance levels.
In the current low volatility, it is recommended to hold a light position (5-10%) and to gradually increase the position after the trend is confirmed.
Event-driven focus:
The release of U.S. non-farm data in the evening (unemployment rate and interest rate cut expectations) may trigger fluctuations in Bitcoin and the Nasdaq index.
Progress of Ethereum Staking ETF and Layer 2 Ecosystem Data (e.g., daily active users on Base chain)
Source of data: The above strategy is integrated from multiple technical analysis reports. It is recommended to verify signals with real-time market conditions and news. #比特币 Ethereum #Investment should be cautious.