The US non-farm payroll report at 8:30 PM tonight can be seen as a barometer for the market.


If the published value is below 4, with an unemployment rate of 4.1-3.9, people will worry whether the economy is getting sick, fearing that companies will stop hiring or even lay off employees, which could cause the stock market to plunge dramatically. It might drop to 107600; it's like hearing bad news and running away first, but if it drops too much, it actually presents an opportunity for long-term investors to pick up good bargains.
If the announced value falls within the range of 4.5-7, and the unemployment rate is between 4.1-4.2, which is not high, then the market will be delighted. Everyone will feel that the economy is just right, neither too hot nor too cold, and the Federal Reserve will soon lower interest rates to give the market a boost. The stock market will happily rise, especially those technology and growth stocks that are sensitive to interest rates.

I personally think that tonight it will rise to 116000, with some fluctuations first, rising then falling then rising again. But regardless of the short-term fluctuations it brings, the key for long-term investment is to grasp the core: the economy always cycles through periods, it will rise after falling a lot, and fall after rising a lot. The most important thing now is to take advantage of the price fluctuations brought by market sentiment to prepare for the future rebound. #非农就业数据来袭 #非农数据来袭
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