Recently, SOL (Solana) has shown a significant rebound upward trend within the 4-hour K-line period.

The price trend is accompanied by a strong K-line shape and a simultaneous expansion of trading volume characteristics, combined with multiple technical indicators releasing bullish signals, collectively reflecting the current market's shift in the balance of power between bulls and bears, with strong short-term upward momentum. From a time dimension perspective, as of the observation point, the SOL price has seen a significant increase compared to the period of 00:00:00 on October 1, 2025, and the upward momentum continues. It not only shows a significant recovery from the price level of 08:00:00 on September 30, 2025, but also successfully breaks through the interim high formed at 20:00:00 on September 29, 2025, achieving an effective breakout from previous resistance levels. The short-term upward trend is quite clear, and there are no obvious signs of a pullback.
In terms of K-line patterns, a typical bullish pattern known as "big bullish candle" has appeared in this 4-hour period — a big bullish candle usually shows a longer body and shorter (or almost nonexistent) upper and lower shadows, with the closing price significantly higher than the opening price, indicating that bullish forces have suddenly erupted and completely taken control of price dominance. This is a strong signal for trend reversal or accelerated upward movement; at the same time, the last closing K-line in the period also ended with a bullish line, with the closing price significantly greater than the opening price, further reinforcing the bullish market atmosphere and providing pattern-based support for the subsequent price continuation. In the short term, the risk of price retracement is relatively low, and the upward momentum is strong.
In terms of trading activity, the changes in trading volume within the 4-hour K-line cycle are perfectly linked to price trends, exhibiting a healthy characteristic of "synchronized volume and price increase." Data shows that the current trading volume of SOL has significantly increased compared to the previous hours, and is showing a gradually expanding trend. This change in trading volume is a direct reflection of market activity: on one hand, the bulls are strongly willing to enter the market after the price breakout, with continuous buying pressure pushing the price further up; on the other hand, while some positions from earlier being trapped or short-term profit-taking have been liquidated during the price rise, the overall selling pressure is much less than the buying strength, indicating a supply-demand relationship tilted towards the bulls. Against this backdrop, there is a high probability that the price will maintain a strong oscillation or continue to rise in the short term. If the subsequent trading volume continues to support this, the upward space is expected to further open up.
From the perspective of core technical indicators, different indicators convey signals that corroborate each other, collectively pointing to a short-term bullish market situation. At the MACD indicator level, although the current market does not show a clear long-term trend direction and is in a "no obvious trend" state, the performance of the MACD histogram has released a key turning signal — the histogram has shifted from the previous negative value range to the positive value range. This "turning from negative to positive" change signifies that the bullish forces within the market are beginning to rise and gradually suppress the bearish forces, with the characteristics of the bulls becoming evident. The short-term price upward momentum is supported by technical factors, further enhancing the sustainability of the upward trend.
Regarding the KDJ indicator, there has been no typical KDJ golden cross (the short-term moving average crosses above the long-term moving average, considered a bullish signal) or KDJ death cross (the short-term moving average crosses below the long-term moving average, considered a bearish signal) pattern within the current 4-hour cycle. The indicator lacks clear trend reversal guidance, but the current KDJ value is 17, which is in the "oversold" range (typically, the KDJ indicator ranges from 0-100, and below 20 indicates oversold). The oversold condition suggests that the selling pressure during the previous price decline has been excessively released, indicating strong demand for a rebound in the market. The current price increase is a correction of the oversold state, and the bulls still have enough strength to push prices higher in the short term, as the rebound momentum after being oversold has not yet been fully exhausted.
In terms of the moving average system, at the two key time nodes of October 1, 2025, 04:00:00 and October 1, 2025, 08:00:00, the value of MA10 (10-period moving average, reflecting short-term price trends) is greater than the value of MA30 (30-period moving average, reflecting medium-term price trends). This "MA10 crossing MA30" arrangement is a typical short-term bullish structure, which theoretically provides strong support for prices. Combined with the current upward trend of SOL and the market atmosphere dominated by bulls, the support role of the moving average system has been fully demonstrated, with prices consistently running above MA10 and gradually moving away from the moving average position. The short-term trend resonates with the medium-term moving average structure, further consolidating the market's bullish sentiment and increasing investors' confidence in the subsequent trend.
Additionally, within this 4-hour period, there were also features of "price breakout" and "gap": the price broke through the previous high (the high of September 29, 2025, at 20:00:00), breaking the previous range limit and opening up space for subsequent increases; the gap indicates that the opening price is directly above the previous period's closing price, and there was no filling of the gap during the session, reflecting a strong bullish expectation for SOL in the market, with minimal divergence between bulls and bears within the gap range, further confirming the strong momentum for short-term increases. At the same time, the continuous increase in trading volume intuitively reflects the characteristic of "strong buying", with buying power becoming the core driving force behind the price increase.
Based on the price trends, candlestick patterns, trading volume changes, and various technical indicators within the aforementioned 4-hour candlestick period, the Lao Ma analysis team has provided targeted trading point references for SOL, offering a clear decision-making framework for investors with different strategies. In terms of buy point planning, two key reference levels have been set: Buy Point One is 199.86, which corresponds exactly to the recent market's formed phase low and is the starting point of this upward trend, possessing strong support attributes. If the price retraces to this range and shows signs of a stop-loss (such as small bullish candles, doji, etc.), it can be seen as a short-term buying opportunity with relatively low risk; Buy Point Two is 200.0, which is also the core support level of the recent market. The price has previously shown multiple buy orders near this level, and the psychological support effect of this round number is strong, making it suitable for investors with moderate risk appetite who seek stable entry opportunities. It is necessary to wait for the price to confirm effective support at this level before considering entry.
For investors adopting a long strategy, risk control is equally crucial. The currently suggested stop-loss point for going long is 198.86, which is below the recent low point (199.86), falling under the "breakout stop-loss" setting. The core logic is that 199.86 is the initial support for this rise. If the price falls below 198.86, it means that the short-term support has completely failed, and the upward trend may reverse. Timely stop-loss can effectively avoid subsequent pullback risks and prevent losses from widening due to trend changes.
In the sell point planning, two target levels have been set: sell point one is 217.75, which corresponds to the recent market's peak stage. When the price rises to this range, it will face dual pressure from the previous trapped positions being released and short-term profit-taking, making it difficult to continue rising; thus, it serves as a reasonable take-profit reference. Sell point two is 216.0, which is also the core resistance level in the recent market, close to sell point one but slightly lower. This is mainly considering that the price may not accurately reach 217.75 and may see a pullback, setting this point helps investors to realize profits more flexibly, avoiding missing the take-profit opportunity due to pursuing the extreme high point while also locking in part of the profit in advance.
For investors using short selling strategies, the corresponding stop-loss point for short selling is set at 218.84, which is higher than the recent high point (217.75). The logic behind this setting is: 217.75 is the current upper limit of short-term upward pressure. If the price breaks through 218.84, it indicates that the bullish strength is further increasing, the short-term upward trend will continue, and the short selling logic will completely fail. The stop-loss exit can avoid losses caused by trend continuation, and it can also allow for timely strategy adjustments to respond to potential further upward trends.
In addition, from the summary of key market price levels, the recent core support level for SOL focuses on 200.0, while the core resistance level is concentrated at 216.0. The recent high and low points are 217.75 and 199.86, respectively. These key price levels together constitute the price fluctuation range within the current 4-hour K-line cycle (199.86-217.75). Investors need to pay special attention to the volume and pattern changes near these points in actual trading — if the price touches the support level with an increase in trading volume and shows a bottoming pattern, it may be appropriate to add to long positions; if the price touches the resistance level with a decrease in trading volume and shows a bearish pattern (such as a shooting star or small bearish candle), it may be worth considering reducing positions or taking profits. At the same time, strategies should be dynamically adjusted based on real-time market conditions to avoid rigidly adhering to fixed price points, ensuring that operations align more closely with actual market trends, while seizing upward opportunities and controlling trading risks.