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1. Recent Market Review
1. BTC Trend: It dropped to 100728 in the evening but rebounded after not breaking the key bottom of 100000; it traded sideways during the day yesterday and started to rise after 16:00 to 104900 before falling again, which is also consistent with our strategy on the 12th; 2. Previous Strategy Execution: A short-selling suggestion was given at 103500 yesterday, successfully capturing a profit of 2000 points, and the subsequent market continued to drop to 11007, with a significant decline.
2. ETH Trend: Yesterday it rose sharply to 3550, with several recent instances of nearly a hundred point increase, showing strong volatility.
2. Technical Analysis (Bearish Logic)
BTC
1. 4-hour level: Breaking the previous "up-down" alternating trend, the trend structure has broken, and the short-term bias is bearish.
2. Daily level: The middle band of the Bollinger Bands continues to pressure the price downward, with all three bands running downwards in sync, clearly indicating a bearish signal.
3. 12-hour level: The MACD indicator is about to form a death cross, releasing a bearish momentum signal.
4. Weekly Level: It was previously predicted that this week would test downwards, with a long-term target of 91000.
ETH
1. Daily level: A gravestone doji candlestick has formed, with the closing price landing precisely near the 3440 support level; the clear resistance range above is 3580-3588, with a key resistance level at 3588.
2. Key Support: Core support level at 3436, current price at 3441, which is close to breaking this support level. If the support fails, the downward trend will continue.
3. 12-hour level: The Bollinger Bands are showing a downward trend, and the short-term trend is bearish.
4. 4-hour level: Once broke through 3505, but only rose 50 points before starting to decline, making this level an important resistance reference.
3. Today's Market Judgment and Operational Layout
Market Prediction: There is a high probability that the downtrend will continue on Thursday, with a very high likelihood of falling to 98000.
Layout sharing from the 11th to the 13th:
Bitcoin short in the direction of 102500-103000, 101500-101000-100000;
Ethereum 3450-3480 short, 3400-3550-3500$BTC $ETH #广场发币瓜分千U奖池