2025-11-20 08:42:37

#美股2026展望 Bitcoin and Ethereum Market Observation: The Game Moment on Non-farm Payrolls Night

$BTC The market movement yesterday was quite dramatic—after dropping below the 90,000 mark, it quickly rebounded. The short opportunity around 93,100 has currently only captured a profit space of over a thousand points. From a daily chart perspective, after a double-bottom pattern, it tested the 7-day moving average again today and faced resistance. The entire moving average system still maintains a bearish arrangement. The MACD continues to move downward with shrinking volume, but the RSI is still hovering in the overbought zone, indicating that market sentiment remains conflicted.

Switching to the four-hour timeframe, the price rebounded after repeatedly testing the lower support, but faced pressure again at the middle band position. The Bollinger Bands show signs of contraction, short-term moving averages are starting to flatten, and the MACD has shown a golden cross with increasing volume. These technical characteristics suggest that there may still be fluctuations in the short term.

In the current situation, special attention should be paid: don't rush to short when refreshing lows, as it often comes with a rapid rebound. The US Non-farm Payrolls (NFP) data tonight at 9:30 PM is likely to trigger a severe shakeout with an unemployment rate + initial jobless claims. Technically, the 94000 line is a recent resistance level. Considering the impact of news, focus on the pressure test near 95000 during the day, while support is expected to stabilize above 90000.

Short-term trading strategy: consider short positions near 94800, and think about going long around 90500, but be sure to set stop losses and lock in profits promptly.

Looking at Ethereum again, after breaking below 2900, it has returned above 3000, showing a similar weak oscillation pattern to Bitcoin. Interestingly, last night's low was exactly close to the support level of 2878 mentioned in the analysis the day before, just a day late in breaking out. Today, considering the disturbance from the US Non-farm Payrolls (NFP) data, we should focus on the oscillation performance within the range of 3200-2900.

Short-term strategy: You can try long positions around 2950, consider reducing positions or reversing at around 3155, and also ensure good risk control.

Non-farm payroll night has always been a touchstone for the market. It is easy to see two-way pin bars appearing before and after the data release, so managing your position is more important than betting on the direction.

BTC-0,74%

ETH1,57%

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GamefiGreenie

· 2025-11-23 07:48

Nonfarm payrolls are here again, it's that time to go all-in as soon as the data drops. So exhausting.

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LootboxPhobia

· 2025-11-21 01:46

Non-farm payrolls can be the most annoying market conditions; they often reverse unexpectedly. Rather than getting tangled in direction, it's better to reduce position to protect oneself.

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OnchainDetective

· 2025-11-20 09:12

Non-farm night... here it comes again, will it be another false alarm this time? --- I'm tired of playing this double wick candle bottom routine, just waiting for tonight to play people for suckers --- I passed on the short order at 94800, feeling like I'm going to get hit in the face with a rebound again --- ETH really just follows BTC closely, not much interesting --- Honestly, I really don't dare to take a heavy position before the data at 9:30, risk control comes first --- To be honest, I really didn't catch that wave at 93100, now I'm conflicted about whether to chase --- The non-farm long wick candle can stab people in both directions, controlling positions is still the most reliable --- The whipsaw tactics these days are indeed fierce, but there must be a routine behind it --- The support at 2878 only broke after a day, the analysis was correct but just a bit slow --- If the line at 90,000 can't hold, I'm betting on short-term fluctuations.

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TokenDustCollector

· 2025-11-20 09:08

The non-farm payroll report is coming at 9:30, this whipsaw is really amazing, let's see who gets squeezed out.

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DisillusiionOracle

· 2025-11-20 09:08

At this critical moment of non-farm payrolls, the profit margin of over 1k points is hilarious; it seems that shorting is not that easy after all.

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fomo_fighter

· 2025-11-20 09:08

Haha, it's this trap operation again, every time before the non-farm payrolls, I have to take a gamble. Wait, is it really brave to long at 90500? It feels like it could easily get dumped. The rhythm of ETH is indeed a bit strange, that support point at 2878 is really tough. To be honest, the position is the lifeline; even if you bet the wrong direction, you won't die. On non-farm payroll night, it's the most cowardly time; I'd rather earn less than get liquidated.

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ImpermanentPhobia

· 2025-11-20 08:47

It's non-farm night again, and here we are... That wave of short orders at 93100 feels like feeding the dogs? The pullback is really choking. What does over a thousand points of profit space count for? I've long been taught by the market to be patient and not rush. I'm afraid the 90k mark will be tested again tonight. Ether is still oscillating over there, and buying at 2950 feels a bit risky, let's see how the non-farm data shakes things up.

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