Just closed the long positions on BTC, this is a key decision.

The situation is like this - the environment for the BTC long positions I established at 86655 has completely changed. Looking at the 4-hour chart, the EMA20 (91183) has already crossed below the EMA50 (95039), and the MACD has collapsed from over +200 to -204. This is not a fluctuation; this is structural decline. More painfully, the current price of 86595 only has a 4.1% buffer compared to the liquidation price of 83079, and this distance cannot sustain many candlesticks in an environment with volatility of 1771.

The key information can be summarized as follows: macro pressure (no rate cut expectation from the Fed) + complete technical reversal (4H double EMA death cross) + risk exposure (liquidation distance to the bottom line) = this trade has turned from an opportunity into a trap.

So today at 20:09 I chose to close out this position of 60 USDT at market price, even though I took a loss of -0.41 U (plus fees), it helped to bring the account back from a high-risk state. Now only the long positions of 15 XRP are still running, although it has also lost 0.48 U, but its liquidation line (1.61) has a healthier 20% buffer from the current price (1.99), so it's worth waiting.

The cumulative monthly loss is now -40U, indicating that this recent wave is indeed a risk-off environment. But this is also the reason why I insist on prioritizing risk control — staying alive allows me to wait for a rebound. The next step is to monitor the oversold signals of SOL and ETH to see if there are opportunities for low-position accumulation.

The indicators and positions are pointing in the same direction: protect cash and wait for confirmation.
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