Oracle is creeping up on that exclusive trillion-dollar club. Currently sitting at $790 billion market cap, it's only 26% away from joining the big leagues—and honestly, the momentum is there.
Here's what's turning heads: Oracle's AI cloud infrastructure business is absolutely firing on all cylinders. We're talking 55% year-over-year growth in their latest quarter. The mega-deals with Meta and OpenAI are printing money, and their multicloud partnerships with AWS, Azure, and Google Cloud are working exactly as planned.
The stock itself is up nearly 70% YTD—crushing most other AI giants in performance. Management is ballsy enough to project $166 billion in cloud revenue by fiscal 2030, which would be a ridiculous 75% CAGR over five years.
But here's the reality check: Oracle's forward P/E ratio is sitting at 42x—higher than every other trillion-dollar AI stock except Tesla. So the valuation is basically pricing in perfection. If AI infrastructure demand slows, or we get an economic hiccup, this stock could get absolutely wrecked. And if they can't deliver growth matching that premium? The path to $1 trillion gets a lot longer.
TL;DR: Oracle has the AI tailwind, the deals, and the positioning. Whether it actually makes the trillion-dollar leap depends on execution holding up while valuations stay this frothy.
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Oracle is creeping up on that exclusive trillion-dollar club. Currently sitting at $790 billion market cap, it's only 26% away from joining the big leagues—and honestly, the momentum is there.
Here's what's turning heads: Oracle's AI cloud infrastructure business is absolutely firing on all cylinders. We're talking 55% year-over-year growth in their latest quarter. The mega-deals with Meta and OpenAI are printing money, and their multicloud partnerships with AWS, Azure, and Google Cloud are working exactly as planned.
The stock itself is up nearly 70% YTD—crushing most other AI giants in performance. Management is ballsy enough to project $166 billion in cloud revenue by fiscal 2030, which would be a ridiculous 75% CAGR over five years.
But here's the reality check: Oracle's forward P/E ratio is sitting at 42x—higher than every other trillion-dollar AI stock except Tesla. So the valuation is basically pricing in perfection. If AI infrastructure demand slows, or we get an economic hiccup, this stock could get absolutely wrecked. And if they can't deliver growth matching that premium? The path to $1 trillion gets a lot longer.
TL;DR: Oracle has the AI tailwind, the deals, and the positioning. Whether it actually makes the trillion-dollar leap depends on execution holding up while valuations stay this frothy.