Fed Rate Cut Decision: Bitcoin, Gold, and Silver Price Targets Analysis

Source: CryptoNewsNet Original Title: Top 3 Price Prediction Bitcoin, Gold, Silver: Is the Fed-Driven Rally Built to Last? Original Link:

Bitcoin, Gold, and Silver Surge Ahead of Fed Rate Decision

Bitcoin, gold, and silver experienced a sudden surge in strength on Tuesday, as markets anticipate another Federal Reserve rate cut. The pioneer crypto and the two commodity safe havens may face volatility around the Fed’s interest rate decision, even as silver breaks above $60/oz for the first time in history, now up +108% in 2025.

Market Expectations and Rate Cut Probability

All eyes are on the Fed’s interest rate decision and the subsequent press conference. Data from the CME FedWatch Tool shows that interest bettors see an 87.6% chance that the Fed will cut interest rates.

A Fed rate cut is generally a tailwind for Bitcoin as it injects liquidity into the financial markets. Gold is typically the cleanest and fastest beneficiary of rate cuts, while silver often lags gold initially, then outperforms during strong reflation moves.

Expected market reactions:

• Gold reacts first and most predictably
• Bitcoin benefits as liquidity expands
• Silver often becomes the late-stage momentum winner

Based on current price action, markets are already pricing in the event, with traders front-running a rate cut amid near-certain probabilities.

Bitcoin Races for $100,000

The Bitcoin price is trading with a bullish bias, consolidating within an ascending parallel channel since bottoming out at $80,600 on November 21. As long as the price remains confined within this technical formation, the prospects for further upside remain alive.

Based on the RSI indicator, momentum is rising, which could push BTC further north. Its position above the 50 threshold suggests significant buyer momentum.

The Bitcoin price faces immediate resistance due to the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $97,015, a roadblock in BTC’s path to the most critical Fibonacci retracement level, 61.8%, at $98,018. This would be a key entry point for late bulls—if Bitcoin breaks cleanly through this level with strong volume, it would signal a strengthening trend and potential extension to $103,399.

In a highly bullish case, BTC could reach the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, signaling a strong trend. Conversely, if the 61.8% level holds as resistance, it would set the tone for a trend reversal, potentially sending Bitcoin toward the $80,600 support floor—a drop of almost 15% from current levels.

Gold in a Classic Reload Zone

The gold price could sell off towards the lows of $4,199 and potentially violate the rising support trendline before reversing higher. Based on the RSI, momentum is fading, putting gold at risk of a correction.

However, with the RSI still above the 50 threshold and strong downward support provided by the confluence of the 50- and 100-day EMAs at $4,202 and $4,203 respectively, the price could forge higher. Critical support resides in the range between $4,178 and $4,192. If this zone holds, the bull structure would remain intact.

The key resistance is at $4,241, with a clean break above this level likely to spark an acceleration toward $4,260, or in a highly bullish case, $4,300 before a potential recapture of the $4,381 all-time high.

Silver’s Historic Bull Run

The silver price is experiencing one of the strongest bull runs in stock market history, up six times the S&P 500’s year-to-date gain. The XAG/USD price is now on track for the largest 12-month gain since 1979.

After establishing a new all-time high of $60.794, silver is on price discovery levels with potential for further upside. The price has decisively cleared the prior range high near $58.83 and accelerated to price discovery, confirming a shift from consolidation to expansion.

All key EMAs (50/100/200) are now stacked bullishly and turning higher, signaling strong short-term trend alignment and trend strength. Momentum supports the move, as evidenced by the RSI above 73, indicating strong buying pressure. However, this RSI position also warns of near-term overheating and the risk of a shallow pullback or consolidation before continuation.

Structurally, the former resistance at $58.80 to $59.00 now acts as first support, while the next psychological and technical target sits around $61.00–$61.50. As long as silver holds above the rising 50-EMA, the bias remains buy-the-dip, with downside risk increasing only on a sustained breakdown below $59.00.