Wall Street has been a bit explosive lately. Traders are frantically betting that the Fed will cut interest rates three times in 2025, and this expectation has now soared to 92% - what's the concept? Basically, nine out of ten people are betting that this will happen.



To be honest, this one-sided sentiment in the market is not common. The last time everyone had such a tacit understanding was at the beginning of the epidemic. Now it feels like the sweltering heat before the storm, everyone knows it's going to change, but they're not sure where the thunder will strike.

If interest rates are cut continuously, the entire game rules will have to be rewritten:

The asset price is reshuffled. U.S. stocks, gold, cryptocurrencies, once liquidity is released, money will find exits everywhere like water opening the floodgates. The logic of betting on high-yield assets now? Directly voided. Growth stock valuations, bond yields, and real estate pricing models all have to follow the new rules.

Market sentiment will also switch directly from wait-and-see to excitement mode. Between greed and panic, there is actually a distance between an interest rate meeting.

Why are professional players so excited? Because what they see is not just interest rate adjustments, but the trend is turning around - either economic growth cannot hold up, or some systemic pressures are about to be unbearable.

This matter cannot be decoupled from ordinary people. Monthly mortgage payments, income from wealth management products, whether the company can get cheap loans to expand, and even whether your job is stable will all be affected by this wave of operations. Opportunities are magnifying, and risks are soaring.

Don't worry about "will it happen", the 92% betting probability already indicates the market attitude. 2025 is likely to be a liquidity carnival led by the Federal Reserve, with wealth reflowing and distributed.

Turning points usually brew quietly, but when they erupt, they turn the world upside down. Are you ready?
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LiquidationTherapistvip
· 9h ago
The number of 92% is really a bit outrageous, and it feels like the whole market is in the same boat, which is not a good sign If the interest rate cut is really coming, my high-interest stable wealth management products may be cool, and I will have to reconfigure them at that time In other words, this kind of consistent expectation is usually slapped in the face by reality in history, and it is a little panicked Liquidity release encryption will definitely be stained, but we also have to guard against this wave of consensus reverse cutting leeks Get ready? I'll just watch, anyway, I've lost everything I should have lost, and now I'm waiting for the opportunity to come When the market is full of voices, it is often the most dangerous time, and I still have to follow it This round of interest rate cut cycle is really going to happen, and the coin holders are going to be excited, envying those all-in brothers 92% is no longer expected, this is the market consensus is pricing, and now it is a real dilemma whether to follow the trend or nuggets
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ImaginaryWhalevip
· 9h ago
The 92% number is really amazing, it feels like everyone is betting in the same direction, isn't this the most dangerous time?
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ParallelChainMaxivip
· 9h ago
The 92% probability is really untenable, and it feels like the entire market is betting in the same direction, which is not right no matter how you look at it
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StableGeniusDegenvip
· 9h ago
92% probability? I don't have the courage to bet on ten times leverage Eh, no, how can it feel like paving the way for a certain big drama Liquidity is released, and BTC must not rush to the moon haha Now all in stablecoins people will regret their intestines Interest rate cuts are the fast-forward button pressed for wealth redistribution, and anyone who has seen this battle understands
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ProbablyNothingvip
· 9h ago
92%? Dude, this probability is more accurate than my prediction of the market, which is a bit dangerous --- The liquidity carnival is true, but I bet that there will be a blood loss --- The sweltering heat before the storm... It feels like describing my account status --- Three times? Come on, the Fed guys are the best at setting off smoke bombs, don't be fooled --- I just want to know who will be the receiver when the time comes, it shouldn't be me anyway --- 92% of people are betting in the same direction, isn't that the most dangerous signal? --- Money flows out like water opening the gates? Why do I feel like my money is flowing out first --- The turning point is quiet... My principal is also gone --- If the crypto sector is really going to cut interest rates, it has to be watched well, not necessarily rising --- Mortgage monthly payment, financial income, but I am more concerned about the price of the currency
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