Let's talk about the premise first - I have been studying the compo cycle for many years, and I am not a magic stick.
Looking back, in 2019, our team repeatedly emphasized that the recession period is coming, it may be 2019 or 2020. As it turned out, the depression of the fifth Compo cycle really arrived on time. This is our best prediction at the moment.
Then there is the judgment of 2025: in the three years from 2025 to 2027, it will encounter the second round of impact of the depression period. More specifically, in the fourth quarter of 2025, US dollar assets are likely to peak. This is put here, right, let time speak.
Look forward at the end of the year and talk about what may happen from 2026 to 2028.
** Cycle is a thing, you can't hide. **
Why can't you hide? Any economy, technical route, or business model will run to a certain node, and the old problem will definitely come back. This is the law.
**U.S. dollar assets, especially U.S. stocks, are already on the edge of a cliff. **
My opinion is: U.S. stocks need to be ruthless - the traditional 4C model may fall by 40%. This opinion has been publicly stated and continues to wait for verification.
It's not just about U.S. stocks.
Bitcoin and other digital currencies in risk assets, now this decline? Just started.
The next trend will suffocate many people.
**Don't grab the bounce, really. **
In turn, I am firmly bullish on gold. The price of gold is far from in place, I have analyzed the trend of CICC gold before, and you can turn over.
In the fourth quarter of 2025, risks are piling up rapidly.
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LiquidationSurvivor
· 12h ago
I have heard a lot of this theory of the combo cycle, but the key is can you really make money?
U.S. stocks fell 40% I believe that I have seen the "suffocation market" of Bitcoin, but now there are still a lot of people who buy the bottom.
Gold is optimistic, but I am afraid that it will be on paper again.
How to play in practice? Bears to the end?
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peaking in the fourth quarter of 2025, I really dare to say this, waiting to be slapped in the face or slapped in the face.
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I admit that I can't hide from the cycle, but the question is, what do ordinary people rely on to hide? You can't replace it all with gold.
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The Kangbo cycle predicts the crisis in 2020 can still be said to be luck, and I really believe in this in 2025 now.
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The statement that Bitcoin is "just starting" sounds like a foreshadowing of cutting leeks.
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U.S. stocks fell 40%, but I think this is a bottom opportunity, why is there no turnaround in your logic?
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ConsensusDissenter
· 12h ago
The statement of the Combo cycle is here again, and I am so confident that it will peak in the fourth quarter of 2025, and I have heard a lot of this "put it here" argument that it will peak in the fourth quarter of 2025. U.S. stocks fell 40%, and the currency circle just opened... Why do you feel like you're betting on a big event, if it doesn't happen at that time, how will you guys explain it hahaha
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TeaTimeTrader
· 12h ago
The argument of the combo cycle still sounds a bit like something, after all, the 2019 wave did step on the right point. However, it is said that the US stock market will fall by 40%, which is a bit ruthless, waiting to see how time will verify it.
View OriginalReply0
ChainSherlockGirl
· 12h ago
The theory of the Kangbo cycle has suffered losses several times, and I understand it anyway, I don't believe in any 40% killing prediction
Will U.S. stocks fall again? Come on, I've seen too many such arguments for a long time
The key is Bitcoin and altcoins, this wave is really a bit fierce, and the on-chain data of wallet addresses shows that large investors are quietly laying out
Don't advise me to buy the bottom, my hard-earned money can't stand the toss
Gold is a bit interesting, according to my analysis, the market still overestimates the resilience of the US dollar
In the fourth quarter of 2025, when the time comes, you will know whether this remark is accurate or not
View OriginalReply0
BasementAlchemist
· 12h ago
I have seen a lot of theories about the Compo cycle, but to be honest, this accurate prediction of the peak of the US dollar in the fourth quarter of 2025... Let's wait for verification.
Bitcoin's current decline is really an appetizer, and if there is a big plunge later, I see a lot of leeks going out directly.
Gold does have good defensive attributes, but don't be all in, it's always right to disperse.
In 2026, we may know who is swimming naked.
40% of the killing is easy to say, how many people can really carry it over.
The combo cycle can't be avoided, but how to deal with it is the job.
If the US stock market really falls so deeply, technology stocks will not be able to bear it first, and A-shares will not be able to run away.
Don't talk about any laws, it depends on how the Fed operates.
Put these words here, how embarrassing it will be to come back and read this article when the time comes.
View OriginalReply0
GweiWatcher
· 12h ago
The theory of the Compo cycle has been blown for many rounds, but his prediction of 2019 is indeed on the right point. Now throw out the argument that Q4 2025 will peak... Wait and see, time will give the answer anyway.
View OriginalReply0
VibesOverCharts
· 12h ago
After listening to Kang Bo's theory for so many years, I still believe in it... However, I have to mark this prediction of peaking in the fourth quarter, waiting to be slapped in the face or eat chicken
If I were to say that Bitcoin's current decline is really nothing, the real good show is yet to come
Gold is worth paying attention to, anyway, the position of US stocks is indeed dangerous
Let's talk about the premise first - I have been studying the compo cycle for many years, and I am not a magic stick.
Looking back, in 2019, our team repeatedly emphasized that the recession period is coming, it may be 2019 or 2020. As it turned out, the depression of the fifth Compo cycle really arrived on time. This is our best prediction at the moment.
Then there is the judgment of 2025: in the three years from 2025 to 2027, it will encounter the second round of impact of the depression period. More specifically, in the fourth quarter of 2025, US dollar assets are likely to peak. This is put here, right, let time speak.
Look forward at the end of the year and talk about what may happen from 2026 to 2028.
** Cycle is a thing, you can't hide. **
Why can't you hide? Any economy, technical route, or business model will run to a certain node, and the old problem will definitely come back. This is the law.
**U.S. dollar assets, especially U.S. stocks, are already on the edge of a cliff. **
My opinion is: U.S. stocks need to be ruthless - the traditional 4C model may fall by 40%. This opinion has been publicly stated and continues to wait for verification.
It's not just about U.S. stocks.
Bitcoin and other digital currencies in risk assets, now this decline? Just started.
The next trend will suffocate many people.
**Don't grab the bounce, really. **
In turn, I am firmly bullish on gold. The price of gold is far from in place, I have analyzed the trend of CICC gold before, and you can turn over.
In the fourth quarter of 2025, risks are piling up rapidly.