🔥#以太坊行情技术解读 BTC broke through the 100,000 mark, ETH repeatedly saw a tug on the 4,000 line, and a key event is brewing - the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting will reveal the answer tonight. Global capital markets hold their breath, and this resolution is not only about US stocks, but also likely to detonate the cryptocurrency market.

⏰ At 3 a.m. Beijing time on Thursday, the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision was officially launched. What is the consensus of the market? The third consecutive rate cut was 25 basis points, and the target interest rate range fell to 3.5%-3.75%. Sounds good news – but the truth is far from simple. This is a typical "hawkish interest rate cut", while cutting interest rates with a knife, while coldly saying harsh words: "This may be the last time." Do you want to drop in the future? Don't dream.

💥 This is not pure water release. One hand was released, and the other was clenched instead. How will this contradictory posture impact the market? No one can predict it completely.

🔴 Four variables will land at the same time tonight, and any of them may rewrite the direction of the market:

How much weight does Powell's speech weigh? **The 30 minutes of the press conference may make a world of difference between the currency circle and the stock market. Goldman Sachs has given a signal: the tone of the statement should be cautious, and the threshold for interest rate cuts must be raised. The market is extremely sensitive to his wording - whether it is "flexible" or "resolute", and there is a huge difference.

Are there any negative votes on the ballot seats? ** This Fed's internal division has reached a new high. The president of the Kansas Fed has voted against it for the second time, and the recent remarks in St. Louis are also dissatisfied. Some radicals are even advocating a 50 basis point reduction. The division to this extent indicates that the consensus within the decision-making committee has been shattered.

What is the state of economic fundamentals? **Core PCE is still stuck at 2.8%, far from the Fed's 2% target. What about employment data? The recruitment environment suddenly turned cold, and wave after wave of layoffs came. The Fed is caught in the middle: inflation has not yet completely tamed, and employment is starting to loosen again. In this dilemma, every decision is tricky.

Will the asset purchase plan be reversed? **In October, it is still said that the balance sheet reduction will stop, what is the current situation? Funds are suddenly tight, and the market is waiting to see if the Fed will restart bond purchases. If the action is frequent, it is a new round of liquidity investment in disguise - just a different word.

📈 The crypto market has reacted in advance, and the daily gains are there. But can this increase withstand tonight's resolution? Can $BTC continue to rise in this Fed cycle, or will it have to pull back if it touches a certain position? How long can $ETH's strength last? $BNB as a representative of the exchange ecosystem, where will the liquidity wind direction be directed?

The answers to all questions will be revealed at 3 o'clock tonight. Some are bullish, some are cautious, what about your judgment? See you in the comment area.