The market wind direction is a bit interesting. While almost everyone thought Trump would let Kevin Hassett take over the Fed (84% of respondents thought so), there were a pitiful few people who actually supported the choice — only 11% felt it should be done.
So who are you more optimistic about? Fed Governor Christopher Waller received 47% support, which is the first public opinion; Kevin Walsh followed with 23%. Ironically, only 5% believe Trump will actually nominate either of them.
Why are you not at ease with Hassett? The core is still worried that he will not be able to keep the Fed’s dual mission and independence. 76% of respondents predict that the next chairman will be more dovish than Powell - rushing to cut interest rates as soon as the labor market weakens, and dragging out interest rates when inflation exceeds the standard. More directly, 51% feel that the new chairman may accommodate Trump’s interest rate cut preferences, and only 41% believe he can maintain independent decision-making.
This expectation itself is sensitive enough, after all, if monetary policy is slightly biased, global asset prices will have to shake.
View Original
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
8 Likes
Reward
8
4
Repost
Share
Comment
0/400
ChainMelonWatcher
· 8h ago
They all say that action is not good, and the typical market is different
---
Hassett's buddy is probably going to take the blame, but the real question is how much independence of the Fed is left
---
47% supported Waller, and only 5% believed that he would really be nominated, which made me laugh
---
If you want to cut interest rates and are afraid of inflation, there is really no one in this market entanglement
---
It has become the norm for the Fed to become a political tool, and no one who takes over will change the general trend
---
51% feel that they will be swayed by Trump, and the independence of the Fed does have to be a question mark
---
The difference between prediction and support is so big, which shows that everyone knows it in their hearts, but they are also helpless
View OriginalReply0
MetaDreamer
· 8h ago
84% said they would choose Hassett, 11% sincerely supported, this is a distance spectrum... It's just a bet on Trump's choice, and I'm not really optimistic about this buddy
If it weren't for the independence, the market would have recognized it long ago, and now it is worried about becoming a machine for cutting interest rates
View OriginalReply0
BearMarketSunriser
· 8h ago
Hassett's buddy has really become a "forced takeover", 84% said they would choose him, but only 11% actually nodded, which is a huge gap
The interest rate policy is going to be ruined again, as soon as Trump cuts interest rates, does the Fed still have independence?
Waller's 47% support is really popular, much stronger than Hassett
This is called market duplicity, it sounds good to say that it is a prediction, but what about the actual operation... We'll see
5% believe in nominating others, this probability is really... It's not as good as my aping success rate
To put it bluntly, I am afraid that the next chairman will become Trump's "interest rate cut tool", and the Fed will not be able to hold the archway
46% is almost ... This is the gap between cognition and reality, brother, blockchain still has to rely on these people to stabilize policies
If Hassett is really going to go up, inflation is afraid to soar, and the currency circle will have to fluctuate again, which is annoying
View OriginalReply0
RektCoaster
· 8h ago
Hassett's matter is outrageous, 84% said it would be at the meeting, and 11% really supported it? It's not a little worse, the typical market can't look down on it but has to accept the feeling of being fated
The market doesn't buy it: 84% predict Hassett will take over from the Fed, but only 11% really support it
The market wind direction is a bit interesting. While almost everyone thought Trump would let Kevin Hassett take over the Fed (84% of respondents thought so), there were a pitiful few people who actually supported the choice — only 11% felt it should be done.
So who are you more optimistic about? Fed Governor Christopher Waller received 47% support, which is the first public opinion; Kevin Walsh followed with 23%. Ironically, only 5% believe Trump will actually nominate either of them.
Why are you not at ease with Hassett? The core is still worried that he will not be able to keep the Fed’s dual mission and independence. 76% of respondents predict that the next chairman will be more dovish than Powell - rushing to cut interest rates as soon as the labor market weakens, and dragging out interest rates when inflation exceeds the standard. More directly, 51% feel that the new chairman may accommodate Trump’s interest rate cut preferences, and only 41% believe he can maintain independent decision-making.
This expectation itself is sensitive enough, after all, if monetary policy is slightly biased, global asset prices will have to shake.