2025-12-10 06:51:46

#BTC与代币化贵金属对比 3 a.m., the Fed's interest rate decision is coming

At 3:00 a.m. on Thursday, both the Fed's FOMC meeting and a summary of economic expectations appeared, followed by Powell's press conference. There are many highlights of this meeting.

The market generally expects the Fed to cut interest rates by 25 basis points for the third time in a row, pushing the interest rate range to 3.50%-3.75%. But the dot plot and SEP forecasts are really the highlight - only one rate cut is expected in 2026 (median 3.9%), which is a bit hawkish.

What Powell says, gold goes:

If it is dovish (2-3 interest rate cuts in 2026 + lower inflation expectations), gold will rush above 4,300 in minutes; In turn, if hawkish signals are released (emphasizing good employment data and limited room for interest rate cuts), gold prices may have to contract to the range of 4220-4180.

Interestingly, there is inconsistency within the Fed, with some members opposing the rate cut, and Powell may emphasize that the conditions for subsequent rate cuts will become more and more demanding. This means that who can win between gold and bitcoin can be seen after tonight's decision.

BTC-2.57%

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SchroedingersFrontrun

· 23h ago

At three o'clock in the morning, it was another gambling moment, and Powell had to shake three times with a mouth coin. Betting on him being dovish or hawkish is as exciting as betting on whether Xu Xiang will turn over. Gold 4300 or 4180, to be honest, I can't see through it at all, it's better to wait for it to smash. The Fed is quarreling internally, what does this mean? It means that no one really knows what to do. BTC has to rise on its own in the end, don't always expect interest rate cuts to save your life. If this game is thunder and rain again, I will really be convinced. Powell, this guy, makes people panic every time. Wait and see, the late-night party is ready anyway.

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BearMarketBuyer

· 12-10 07:21

Powell opened his mouth, and my wallet had to shake, this day is really difficult. Wait, there are still people inside who oppose interest rate cuts? Now it's good, the probability of hawkishness has risen again, and the dream of gold 4300 is afraid to be shattered. Staying up late at 3 a.m. to see what resolution, it's better to sleep, anyway, I'm copying when I fall. The dot plot is the real father, one interest rate cut VS three interest rate cuts, this gap is absolute, BTC and gold have to look at its face. Powell, this guy, is really good at suspense, knowing that the result will be delayed until the press conference, so it's better to write a novel directly.

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RunWhenCut

· 12-10 07:21

Staying up late at 3 a.m. to wait for the decision, Powell has to kneel as soon as he opens his mouth for gold, and whether BTC can take the opportunity to pull a wave depends on the Fed's face

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MemeCurator

· 12-10 07:19

At 3 a.m., I have to stay up late again, and Powell's buddy has to tremble with gold and bitcoin in his mouth Hawk or dove, to put it bluntly, it depends on how he brags, only once in 2026? This is going to smash the plate The dot matrix map thing is really a big suspense, and it makes a moth every time Bet on 4300 or 4180, and you will know at night, and I want to earn back the money I stayed up late

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GasGuru

· 12-10 07:18

If Powell releases hawks tonight, gold collapses BTC and eats meat, and vice versa... This wave really has to watch the resolution

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CrossChainBreather

· 12-10 07:10

Do you have to guard at 3 a.m.? Powell's mouth is really more unpredictable than the K-line --- It's a dot plot game again, and it will only drop once in 2026? This hawkish flavor is really strong --- Gold vs Bitcoin, see the real chapter tonight, bet on the doves directly stud 4300 --- There is a quarrel inside, and we have to pretend to be united, and this press conference is afraid that it will overturn --- I feel that what Powell wants to say is: there is no room for interest rate cuts, everyone, be mentally prepared --- I have long been optimistic about the range of gold 4220, and I rushed here as soon as the hawkish signal came out

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