2025-12-10 07:00:10

Before the December Fed interest rate meeting, there was a sudden signal from the market - Kevin Hassitt, director of the White House National Economic Council (who is also a popular candidate for the next Fed chairman), publicly shouted: It's time to continue cutting interest rates.

The timing is very coincidental. The Federal Reserve will meet on Tuesday and Wednesday, and the results will be announced at 3 a.m. on Thursday (Beijing time). The recent US employment data has been a bit crotch-stretching, with the market generally betting on another 25 basis points cut.

CME's FedWatch tool shows that the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in December has soared to 89.6%. What's even more interesting is that JPMorgan Chase, Morgan Stanley, and other major Wall Street banks have all changed their words urgently - they used to say that "interest rate cuts may be suspended", but now they have changed to "definitely will fall" one by one.

For the crypto market, every move by the Fed is worth watching. Interest rate cuts mean loose liquidity, which has historically been good for risk assets. The results of this meeting may directly affect the trend of the market at the end of the year.

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Web3ExplorerLin

· 6h ago

hypothesis: the fed's liquidity injections function as cross-chain bridges between traditional finance and crypto markets... when rates drop, it's essentially removing barriers in the oracle network of capital flow. fascinating how wall street suddenly all speaks the same language once consensus forms, yeah?

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StakeWhisperer

· 6h ago

These people on Wall Street really know how to look at the direction of the wind, the front foot is still hesitating, and the back foot directly changes its words to determine the interest rate cut... How much pressure does this have to be? In the interest rate cut cycle, the currency circle is often the first to be high, and there is a wave at the end of the year? I would like to see if this 89.6% probability will be a slap in the face. Do you want studs, everyone? I saw the dawn in the early hours of Thursday morning. In fact, it still has to look at the employment data, the employment in the United States has "pulled the crotch", and the interest rate cut is simply forced, which is somewhat watery behind it. I'll look at it at the opening tomorrow, but the loose liquidity is indeed a good signal for the currency circle, and the question is whether the time to enter the market now is right... Wait for Thursday, don't rush to buy the bottom. What does it mean that Wall Street has changed its mouth so quickly? The market has already priced it.

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DataBartender

· 6h ago

With an 89.6% probability, these people on Wall Street are really good at acting, and they are still hesitating on the front foot and changing their mouths on the back foot, laughing to death Interest rate cuts are coming, liquidity is loose, and whether it can take off at the end of the year depends on this wave, waiting for the early morning of Thursday Kevin's operation is really a bit out of common sense, and the new chairman began to let go before he took office, which was a bit tidy 25 basis points to win, the market has long been gearing up, and the crypto side should react The employment data is about to cut interest rates, the logic is right, but it always feels wrong, but what does it have to do with us?

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ChainDoctor

· 6h ago

89.6% probability... This wave is stable, and there is no problem with rushing at the end of the year --- Hassit got stuck at this time, so he almost didn't just say "buy it, everyone" --- Wall Street has changed its mouth collectively, this is the real signal, and we have to keep up --- Interest rate cut = water release = currency price soaring, this logic is closed, waiting on Thursday --- Is the employment data an opportunity? After thinking about it, it's true --- Start at 25 basis points, what to buy if you don't have some room for imagination

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BearMarketGardener

· 6h ago

With an 89.6% probability, Wall Street's wave of change is too obvious, just wait for Thursday's explosion

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GasSavingMaster

· 7h ago

This wave is really coming, and it must be defended in the early hours of Thursday morning These people on Wall Street turn their faces faster than they turn books The interest rate cut is coming, and it is time for the currency circle to take off In other words, Hasit's routine is a bit obvious... 89.6%？ Stabilized, fishing and waiting for results As soon as the Fed moves, the market will follow, and this year's end can be a wave They have all changed their mouths, and they are determined to surrender

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HackerWhoCares

· 7h ago

Hassit is paving the way for public opinion for the Fed, and the routine is really deep These people on Wall Street have changed their words so quickly, forgot what they said before? Cut interest rates by 89.6%? That is, it is ironclad to fall, there is no suspense In the sprint stage at the end of the year, the liquidity is loose, and the currency circle will definitely react Wait for Thursday's results, this time may really be a turning point

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