2025-12-10 09:21:02

#美联储联邦公开市场委员会决议 $ETH $BTC don't keep staring at the good - the problem is that you are not watching the same channel as me.

Cutting interest rates sounds cool, but this medicine is prescribed a little reluctantly. The economy is weak, and no matter how strong the medicine is, it cannot bear it.

The recent employment report revealed several details. What does it mean that there are fewer resignations and more layoffs? It shows that enterprises are shrinking and the economy is wilting. Wage growth is slowing down, and the consumer side is already screaming.

What's even more heart-wrenching is the consumption data. Credit card debt is high, interest rates are more than 20%, and inflation is stuck above the 2% target line - the money in the hands of ordinary people has long been emptied. At this time, singing a song about cutting interest rates sounds like hanging saline for a patient, but the infusion tube originally had a hole.

In the short term, interest rate cuts may indeed support risk assets such as $BTC, but if economic fundamentals do not improve, the volatility will be hidden - it may be a negative news, or it may be that a certain data falls short of expectations, and a spark can detonate.

The wave of water release in 2021 was different, and the economy was still confident at that time. What now? High debt + low employment, like a person losing blood while replenishing blood.

The real point of concern is not the rate cut itself, but after the rate cut - when the real purchasing power of the market will appear. Whether the economy can withstand this round of easing is yet to come.

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NftDeepBreather

· 12-13 06:25

This medicine is indeed a bit strong, but I'm worried about the patient's physique. That's right, interest rate cuts are just a smokescreen; the real problems haven't been solved yet. Losing blood while receiving IV fluids—what a metaphor... That's exactly how the market is right now. Short-term support is okay, but if the fundamentals don't improve, a爆 (burst) is inevitable. Credit card debt is like this, yet people still call it good news. I find it hard to see through. When consumption data weakens, everything else is pointless. How long can this round of easing last? I think we should ask that question. Fewer resignations but more layoffs—companies are really shrinking. 2021 was different; back then, there was some momentum. Now, it's just like being on IV fluids. A single negative news can trigger a sell-off; caution is still needed when accumulating coins. Before purchasing power recovers, any rebound is just an illusion. Debt + unemployment—this combo will have to be paid off sooner or later. Interest rate cut support is just support, but volatility can appear at any time. When will the real bottom come? That's what we need to watch.

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UnluckyMiner

· 12-10 20:52

Honestly, this round of interest rate cuts is just pain relief; it can't address the root problem at all. Oh no, with debt already so high, can interest rate cuts really save the day? That's right, the employment data is indeed leaking, feeling like the economy is heading downhill. Instead of chasing rate cuts, it's better to watch out for potential爆雷 (爆雷: sudden financial crisis or explosion). High debt + low employment, this combo is truly deadly. It looks like rate cuts are just short-term placebo, and in the long run, we still need to wait for real purchasing power to emerge. Ultimately, there's still no confidence; 2021 was truly different. The consumer side is already screaming, I have to say, I respect this statement. As long as the data slightly misses expectations, the market can reverse in a second. I think the key still depends on the future economic performance; right now, taking on risks is too dangerous.

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ForkMonger

· 12-10 09:51

rate cuts are just protocol patches on a broken system tbh. fundamentals deteriorating while everyone's fixated on the dopamine hit. classic governance failure—treating symptoms instead of addressing the attack vectors. 2021 had actual runway, this is just margin of disruption waiting to trigger.

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WhaleInTraining

· 12-10 09:49

It makes sense that the wave in 2021 is indeed different, and now this operation cannot be saved The bottom consumer side is eating soil, and they are still speculating on short-term benefits? Wake up, everyone Can interest rates rise? That's too naïve, who can save the economy like this Credit cards are bursting and I still want to spend to drive GDP, dreaming Optimistic about the reverse operation after the interest rate cut, the opportunity to short is greater Wait and see the data explode later, it's still early This round of easing is destined to be futile, and everyone knows it Short-term support currency price, long-term? Continue to be bearish

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RektButStillHere

· 12-10 09:45

Honestly, interest rate cuts can't save the overall situation at all; they're just a way to prolong life. Look at that lousy employment data—layoff waves are the real truth. Whether or not interest rates are cut, it won't make a difference. Credit card debt at 20% interest, consumers have long gone bankrupt. What’s the point of a rate cut? Their wallets are empty. That wave in 2021 was different. Now it's like an IV tube is broken but you're still getting injections. How long it can last is really hard to say. Just wait and see—one bad news can crash the market. Don’t be fooled by short-term rebounds. The problem isn't with the rate cut itself, but whether anyone dares to really spend after the cut. Can this round of easing be fully understood? I don’t believe it. The combo of high debt and low employment is just too uncomfortable. Dissolving dehydrated patients with saline—do you think that's a big joke? Short-term support is possible, but if the fundamentals don't improve, risks are lurking in the corner, waiting.

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