2025-12-10 10:22:44

The banking sector has been performing quite poorly recently, and it may continue to fluctuate in the short term, even risking a direct break below key support levels.

Yesterday's performance was another doji candlestick, and after several days of decline, the market sentiment has clearly been suppressed. From a technical perspective, the index has been struggling near the 60-day moving average these days, but the problem is—the focus is gradually shifting downward.

I previously mentioned a logical judgment: if there is no new low for three days, it often indicates signs of stabilization; conversely, if a new low appears within three days, the downward trend has not yet finished. Yesterday, the bank index refreshed its recent low, so there is a high probability that it will continue to weaken in the short term.

Currently, the index is just stuck around the 60-day moving average. If it breaks below again, that would be a classic breakdown and decline. Risks should be alert.

Do you feel that this trend is somewhat similar to the sharp plunge of the liquor sector some time ago? Both experienced oscillation, bottoming out, and then suddenly accelerating downward. History doesn't repeat simply, but it often echoes with similar rhythms.

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AllInAlice

· 2025-12-13 03:15

Here comes a new low again; this rhythm is indeed a bit interesting. The risk of breaking the level really needs to be watched out for. The repeated fluctuations in the liquor sector have happened so many times, and now the bank sector truly feels the same. After grinding at the bottom for so long, a direction has to be chosen sooner or later. If the 60-day moving average can't hold, it's dangerous. The logic of hitting a new low in three days is still quite reliable. Feels like the short term still needs to be taken a beating; let's see what happens next.

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BrokenDAO

· 2025-12-12 15:05

Three-day new lows—this logic sounds quite convincing, but essentially it's just hindsight bias. When it was right a few times before, it was taken as a golden rule; when it doesn't work this time, excuses are made. It's a classic case of incentive distortion. Whether the bank breaks its position or not ultimately depends on the outcome of off-market capital battles; technical analysis is just a cover.

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GasFeePhobia

· 2025-12-11 20:57

It's breaking below again. Last time it was liquor, now it's banks. I'm really tired of this.

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AirdropworkerZhang

· 2025-12-10 10:52

It hit a new low again; this pace really never seems to end.

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MEVHunter

· 2025-12-10 10:51

Seeing new lows again, this is exactly what I mean by the logic in the mempool mapped onto the stock market—shifting focus means traders are quietly retreating, just like the dullness before a gas war, everyone can see it but no one dares to act.

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ConfusedWhale

· 2025-12-10 10:49

Another new low again, this rhythm is all too familiar If it breaks, just sell off directly, there's nothing interesting to watch If the 60-day moving average can't hold, it's over, let's wait and see

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WhaleSurfer

· 2025-12-10 10:45

Another long-legged doji candlestick, this banking guy needs to catch his breath. Is a breakdown coming? Feel like the 60-day moving average can't hold. The same old tactics from the white liquor industry are now playing out in banking; history really is a joker. Three-day new lows directly announce the verdict; don't even think about short-term gains. This rhythm is exactly the same as before the last crash; I need to reduce my positions. The moving averages are trending downward, and the bulls are basically done for. After grinding sideways for so long, it still looks like a wave of accelerated downward movement is coming.

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