#数字资产生态回暖 $ETH losing stories are played out every day, but few people truly understand the real reason.

It's not a technical problem, but a mindset issue——too eager to win, too impatient, too greedy.

You must have seen this type of trader: just entered the crypto world and started piling up indicators, researching strategies, back-testing models, watching tutorials. The lines get more and more complicated, but trading becomes increasingly chaotic. In the end, they realize: the more they learn, the faster they lose.

I've observed some people who have been active in contracts for a long time, and they all share a common trait——using the simplest methods to survive the longest. Not because they are smart, but because they see through it early: human greed is harder to deal with than any market fluctuation.

**Their trading rules are actually quite "dumb," only three:**

**First, no greed.** Take as much profit as you can, let go of profits you can't reach. Earning a little less is always more comfortable than massive drawdowns.

**Second, no guessing.** Don't guess the top, don't gamble on the bottom. Wait for the market to move on its own, rather than betting early. The true direction reveals itself to you.

**Third, no holding through losses.** Admit mistakes when wrong, exit when losing. Keeping capital is for waiting for the next opportunity.

**The execution logic is also simple:**

Don't mess with shitcoins, don't chase obscure coins, and don't chase the latest hot topics. Just stick to BTC and ETH. Not that this guarantees profits, but it minimizes unnecessary risks.

Regarding critical market analysis, it doesn't need to be complicated. Just look at the 4-hour timeframe, and only one MA60—buy when price crosses above MA60, sell when it crosses below. No need to analyze macroeconomics, follow KOLs, or stay up all night reading crypto news; just follow the trend.

**Finally, on the execution level:** Don't predict, don't fantasize. Cut losses when needed, take profits when appropriate. After setting clear rules, execute mechanically. The goal isn't every trade making money, but staying in the game.

As you go along, you'll realize——overcomplicating things is a way to prove how strong you are to others; keeping things simple is true reconciliation. The people who make money are never the smartest, but those who can repeat simple actions consistently.

After trading for a long time, this becomes more and more evident: simplicity is not mediocrity; simplicity is the highest form of maturity.