#数字资产生态回暖 The Federal Reserve's interest rate decision was announced at 3 a.m., with internal disagreements reaching their highest level in recent years—this time, coordination is indeed challenging. Five members support a rate cut, one may support it, three are ambiguous, one might oppose a cut, and two remain on the sidelines. The market generally expects a rate cut this week, but Powell might not provide a clear signal of further cuts in January this time, as he needs to first soothe the hawkish voices within the committee.



According to analysis from U.S. banks, Powell might emphasize that only a significant weakening of employment data would lead to further rate cuts, or outright state that the benchmark interest rate is already near its neutral level. This approach neither completely rules out cuts nor leaves the market completely unprepared.

$BTC has certainly been quite popular these days. From a short-term trend perspective, I personally lean toward a correction—after all, the recent gains are quite substantial. Using the early session's high as a resistance level might be more reasonable.
BTC-1.04%
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LeverageAddictvip
· 12-11 11:22
With so many hawkish signals, a rate cut might be out of the question... The recent rebound of BTC indeed warrants some caution.
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token_therapistvip
· 12-10 13:50
There is such a big internal disagreement that Powell will have a tough time; no matter what he says, someone will be dissatisfied. Bitcoin's recent surge has been a bit rapid; a correction is normal, so don't overhype the signals in January. The Federal Reserve is getting harder and harder to please; a rate cut decision feels like an espionage battle. Powell: I haven't said anything, but you've all understood. Optimistic about the correction; the previous gains are indeed a bit虚. Is this what you call policy uncertainty? I directly see short-term pessimism. The resistance level is set here; if it can't break through, it will have to go down. The committee is so divided that the market will need some time to digest.
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GhostAddressHuntervip
· 12-10 13:36
Powell played it really carefully this time, trying to please the hawks while stabilizing market sentiment. Basically, he doesn't want to offend anyone. The recent surge in Bitcoin is a bit fake; I think a correction is necessary for stability. With such internal division within the Federal Reserve, relying on data in the future is an old trick already used up. The idea of using the early trading high point as resistance is good; wait for a breakdown before entering. The committee lineup is giving me a headache; coordination difficulty is at an all-time high. Powell needs to figure out how to spin this lie; rate cuts are not happening anytime soon. $BTC in the short term should be watched for the correction range; it's most likely a rebound within the bear market pattern.
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GasFeeSobbervip
· 12-10 13:36
Hawks are so numerous, rate cuts are definitely going to be slow and cautious, don't expect any continuation of the January rally I think this Bitcoin rebound is suspicious; it’s impossible to rise so sharply without a pullback The Federal Reserve’s internal conflicts are so intense; the market needs to digest this slowly BTC resistance level is just at the early session high, there's nothing much to say from a technical perspective Hey, wait a minute, if the employment data really weakens, is there still a story to tell? Powell’s rhetoric is quite crafty, pleasing both hawks and calming the market, quite skillful Short-term, a retracement is not a problem; the previous rally was so big, it needs to correct Such big disagreements might actually be a good sign? It would be scary if the Federal Reserve were completely united
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LightningClickervip
· 12-10 13:35
There are so many hawkish signals, so a rate cut must involve easing liquidity, but Powell won't say it outright; this routine is played very skillfully. BTC's recent surge has been too rapid, I also feel a correction is due, otherwise I won't feel at ease. The committee is so divided, there will definitely be more variables ahead, it depends on employment data. Expectations for a rate cut are high but no clear signal yet; the market needs to digest this over the next couple of days. It's just "since a full cut isn't possible, let's just keep the market guessing," a classic Federal Reserve tactic. I also marked the high point in the early session; if it can't break through, then a short position should be considered. The internal disagreements are so big yet a rate cut is still happening, indicating significant economic pressure. In the short term, BTC faces resistance levels; the long-term logic remains the same, it all depends on what Powell says. Hawks are causing trouble, and a rate cut will involve more theatrics—life is tough for old Powell.
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CryptoCrazyGFvip
· 12-10 13:23
There are so many hawks, don't expect a perfect January haha. But Powell's move of "not closing the door but giving room" is indeed skillful, and the market is buying it. I'm also waiting for this wave of BTC correction; after such a strong rise, a pullback is only reasonable. The resistance level is right there.
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