#以太坊行情技术解读 【The Night Before the Federal Reserve Decision: What's the Logic Behind the Market's Turmoil?】



Tonight, the Federal Reserve's December FOMC decision will be announced. Wall Street analyst Tom Lee recently pointed out an interesting phenomenon on social media. Over the past four weeks, the market has been enveloped in expectations of "hawkish rate cuts," with investors generally bearish and even reluctant to buy the dip in stocks. This uniform pessimism has ironically become a "powder keg."

Why is that? Lee's reasoning is as follows—when the market reaches a consensus of "everyone is bearish," it often signals a critical reversal point. Once the decision deviates from extremely pessimistic expectations, stop-loss and buy-the-ramp orders are triggered simultaneously, causing a strong rebound in the stock market. In other words, this is the so-called "contrarian betting"—the more panicked you are, the closer the opportunity is.

From a technical perspective, major cryptocurrencies like $ETH, $BNB, and $BTC have recently followed stock market sentiment fluctuations. The decision outcome is likely to trigger cross-asset correlation responses. The market movement tonight depends on whether the signals released by the Federal Reserve are enough to break the four-week "pessimism spell."

What do you think? Will this rebound truly arrive, or is the market fooling itself? Leave a comment to share your trading plan.
ETH1.55%
BNB-0.06%
BTC0.38%
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SchroedingerAirdropvip
· 12-13 12:03
Everyone is bearish, which actually signals a bottom; I buy into this logic. Let's wait for tonight's Federal Reserve decision to make it final. --- Another "powder keg"? I want to see what kind of market movement this will trigger. $BTC, don't deceive me again. --- Contrarian bets sound good, but in reality, it's just betting that the Federal Reserve won't be too hawkish. I'm choosing to wait and see; anyway, I can't afford to lose. --- This is the easiest time to get caught in a trap; going all-in would be begging for trouble. Staying alert... --- Consensus is bearish? Sorry, everyone around me is bottom-fishing, haha. --- Still daring to go all-in on the night before the Federal Reserve decision—this mindset is really bold. --- $ETH following $BTC has become a habit; tonight will probably be linked again. Let's see how the trend develops. --- Feels like every time they say "powder keg," it never ignites. I'll wait for a signal before making a move.
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SybilAttackVictimvip
· 12-11 00:03
When everyone is bearish, is it actually an opportunity? Nah, I'm tired of this kind of talk. Every time, they say there will be a reversal, but it still keeps falling. However, if the Federal Reserve isn't as hawkish tonight, could ETH make a surge? I'm thinking about whether I should take a shot.
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MagicBeanvip
· 12-10 14:51
When everyone is bearish, isn't that the easiest time to get cut? I doubt this wave can rebound.
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WhaleWatchervip
· 12-10 14:48
It's true that markets tend to reverse when everyone is bearish, but this time it doesn't seem that simple... With such strong hawkish interest rate cut expectations, does the Fed really dare to be dovish?
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SneakyFlashloanvip
· 12-10 14:43
Everyone is bearish on me, but I remain bullish. Jay Chou won't deceive me this time, right?
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TooScaredToSellvip
· 12-10 14:40
Everyone being bearish is the bottom? I’ve heard this theory so many times it’s starting to give me calluses on my ears. Every time they say this, the market reverses, and it still keeps falling... The probability that the Fed will directly dump the market tonight is also 50%. Don’t be too superstitious about so-called contrarian bets.
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BearMarketBardvip
· 12-10 14:31
When everyone is bearish... Hey, isn't this a bottom signal? Anyway, I've already gone all-in—it's either the moon or bankruptcy.
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