Tonight at 3 a.m., a smoke-free game is about to unfold. The Federal Reserve's interest rate decision announcement and Powell's press conference have everyone in the global trading community on edge.



A 25 basis point cut? The market has already fully priced that in. The real suspense isn't whether they will cut or not, but how they will say it. Powell must present a hawkish stance tonight—inflation pressures remain, policy path needs caution, and one rate cut doesn't mean the easing cycle has started. His task is clear: to cool the market’s wild expectation of "significant rate cuts next year."

Even more intriguing are internal rumors: this vote might pass narrowly at 7:5, indicating greater internal disagreements within the committee than expected.

What to do in terms of trading?
Short-term traders: If you open contracts, be prepared for both long and short explosive moves. The market could swing 3%-5% in an instant. Don’t panic; such intense volatility often presents short-term opportunities.

Medium-term positioning: If the market really drops, don’t be afraid—gradually build up your spot positions. Liquidity will flow in sooner or later; it’s just a matter of time.

Long-term holding: The door to the rate cut cycle has already begun to crack open. Holding spot positions is the right approach; don’t be scared off by short-term fluctuations.

Remember: When prices drop, slowly accumulate; when they go up, don’t chase highs. Liquidity may arrive late, but it will not be absent. The bigger the storm, the more you need to stay calm!
View Original
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
  • Reward
  • 7
  • Repost
  • Share
Comment
0/400
LongTermDreamervip
· 12-13 08:06
Powell's guy tonight has to give that group of greedy ghosts a cold shower, or else next year's "big rate cut dream" will blow up the market. A 7:5 passing rate indeed suggests significant internal conflict, but the cycle theory over these three years tells us that volatility is the norm. --- Three years ago, I was here shouting "liquidity is not lacking," and now, my account is all green. So tonight, no matter how they smash, I have only two words—slowly accumulate. --- Wait, if it's really an aggressive stance, then I need to enter in stages during this decline. Anyway, in the long run, this is just a small wave in the historical cycle. --- The double explosion risk is real, but if we don't play with derivatives, it's fine. Just hold steady in spot, after all, liquidity is not a problem. --- Honestly, I'm a bit looking forward to the market at 3 a.m. to see how Powell serves this bowl of hawkish porridge. If his wording is tough enough, it might be my last bottom-fishing opportunity of the year.
View OriginalReply0
StableBoivip
· 12-11 20:45
Powell really can't be soft-handed; he must pour cold water fiercely, or those guys will go crazy again next year. Drop it, hold steady, don’t panic, this wave will definitely rebound. 7:5? Haha, what is the committee doing, such a big disagreement. Short-term is about risking it all, medium-term is about catching the soup, long-term is the way to go, everyone has to play. Market fluctuations of 3-5% are normal, don’t be scared, this is an opportunity to buy the dip. Liquidity will definitely come, it’s just a matter of time, the key is whether you can endure until then. It’s good to show a hawkish stance; if the market listens, it will take off, and then it will be a big show. The advice to not chase the high is very good; many people have fallen into this trap, greed is deadly.
View OriginalReply0
BearMarketBardvip
· 12-10 15:53
Powell's words still need to be listened to, but the market's enthusiasm for rate cuts really needs to cool down. Let's wait and see how the 7:5 vote slaps back. No more sleep at 3 a.m., the contract explosion race is about to begin. The rate cut pricing was completed early; the key is whether hawkish comments can suppress this wave of enthusiasm. A big rate cut next year? Dream on, you should wake up tonight. Liquidity delays are common; the key is not to chase highs and get caught. With such large short-term fluctuations, opportunities and explosive orders are just one K-line apart. Buying spot when it drops feels more solid than listening to any analysis.
View OriginalReply0
BTCRetirementFundvip
· 12-10 15:53
Powell, you better watch your words tonight. Don't cause another hawkish reversal that catches us off guard. 7:5 approval? Why is this committee so divided? It seems that interest rate cuts are not as simple as they appear. At 3 a.m., the market is tense for both long and short positions. This volatility is expected to start at 3-5%. Liquidity will come sooner or later. What are we hesitating for now? Gradually accumulating positions is the real strategy. Don't chase the highs, my friend. A dip is the opportunity to build positions. Just hold steady. Short-term fluctuations are nothing. The real opportunity is in the long term. Staying calm is the key.
View OriginalReply0
HashBanditvip
· 12-10 15:52
nah the 7:5 split is what actually keeps me up at night... back in my mining days we'd call that kind of division "network consensus failure" lol. powell's gonna talk hawkish but the market's already pricing in cuts for next year anyway, gas fees on this volatility gonna be brutal fr
Reply0
SatoshiChallengervip
· 12-10 15:49
Another story of "liquidity will be late but not absent." Interestingly, the last time someone said this, the liquidation rate was 98%. Data shows that after each Federal Reserve signals a "hawkish" stance, market reactions are rarely as gentle as expected. Ironically, retail investors always bet on a different outcome next time. 7:5 voting? That's just storytelling. Rumors are often ten times more exciting than reality. Don’t panic. Those who are always squeezed by longs and shorts are the ones chasing the highs. The pattern has been the same since 2018. "Hold steady in spot," does that phrase sound like the top of the last bull market...
View OriginalReply0
DaoTherapyvip
· 12-10 15:38
If Powell doesn't say some "tough words" tonight, the market might go crazy. 7:5 vote? The level of division is interesting, the hawks are really making a move. This round of the market, only the experts can handle it. Staying up at 3 o'clock, want me to keep you company? 25 basis points are already priced in, what he says is the real highlight. I bet Powell will have a tough stance tonight, the dream of rate cuts next year is shattered. Contract traders are really going to get hurt this time; 3%-5% volatility could lead to quick liquidation. Holding spot positions steadily is enough; don't overthink it. Such a tense vote? It shows that the higher-ups are genuinely a bit anxious. Whether liquidity comes or not, let's not be scared out first—that would be the biggest loss.
View OriginalReply0
  • Pin
Trade Crypto Anywhere Anytime
qrCode
Scan to download Gate App
Community
  • 简体中文
  • English
  • Tiếng Việt
  • 繁體中文
  • Español
  • Русский
  • Français (Afrique)
  • Português (Portugal)
  • Bahasa Indonesia
  • 日本語
  • بالعربية
  • Українська
  • Português (Brasil)