Tonight is destined to be a sleepless night. The Federal Reserve FOMC decision is about to be announced, and Powell's subsequent speech is the main event — all your US stocks and crypto assets are waiting for this signal.
Currently, the market assigns a 90% probability of a 25 basis point cut, with interest rates expected to fall within the 3.5%-3.75% range. But honestly, what truly influences the market isn't whether they cut or not, but what Powell says at 3:30 AM. With a 7-5 vote inside the committee, if he leans slightly hawkish or dovish, the market will react immediately.
A few key points to watch:
Will the dot plot set the tone for the rate cut path in 2026? If he mentions that the economy is in a "good state," then the expectation of a rate cut in January can be basically dismissed. Currently, inflation and employment data are pulling in different directions; which side will the policy balance tip towards?
Set your alarm and don't miss the live broadcast. In times like this, one sentence can make your holdings ride a roller coaster.
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ResearchChadButBroke
· 12-10 16:51
As soon as Powell speaks, I know how my coins will move tonight. That 90% probability is less effective than his single sentence.
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APY_Chaser
· 12-10 16:50
Whenever Powell opens his mouth, my position has to tremble along with it. Honestly, I can't afford to provoke him...
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Ser_Liquidated
· 12-10 16:49
That sentence at 3:30 AM is really worth more than 90% of the value, truly.
View OriginalReply0
FloorSweeper
· 12-10 16:39
nah powell's gonna talk and half this sub's gonna panic sell like clockwork... watch the dot plot, that's where the real tells are
Tonight is destined to be a sleepless night. The Federal Reserve FOMC decision is about to be announced, and Powell's subsequent speech is the main event — all your US stocks and crypto assets are waiting for this signal.
Currently, the market assigns a 90% probability of a 25 basis point cut, with interest rates expected to fall within the 3.5%-3.75% range. But honestly, what truly influences the market isn't whether they cut or not, but what Powell says at 3:30 AM. With a 7-5 vote inside the committee, if he leans slightly hawkish or dovish, the market will react immediately.
A few key points to watch:
Will the dot plot set the tone for the rate cut path in 2026? If he mentions that the economy is in a "good state," then the expectation of a rate cut in January can be basically dismissed. Currently, inflation and employment data are pulling in different directions; which side will the policy balance tip towards?
Set your alarm and don't miss the live broadcast. In times like this, one sentence can make your holdings ride a roller coaster.