The crazier the market gets, the clearer your mind must be.

Tonight, the Fed’s blade is about to fall—interest rate cuts. Sounds like free money? Be careful, it might be a funeral.

Remember last year’s move? Before the news came out, BTC skyrocketed from 60,000 to 68,000, with everyone shouting “Bull market is here.” But when the shoe dropped, it immediately smashed through 52,000. I know a guy who went all-in at the top, now he’s just sitting halfway up the mountain waiting for rescue.

This is the bloody version of that old saying: Expectation makes you happy, reality hits you hard when you sell.

You might say, aren’t institutions疯狂扫货? Yes, but they’re playing a long game, holding low-cost chips from half a year ago. And you? You’re betting on tonight’s 12-hour heartbeat. Look at ETH’s RSI, it’s already in the overbought zone. Institutions can shake out the盘 and still profit. Want to chase the high? One pullback is enough to knock you out.

What should you do?

Three simple and brutal life-saving rules:

**First, lock in 30% of your position.** No matter how tempting, don’t go all in. I’ve seen someone put all their wedding money into BTC. When the news dropped, it fell 15%, and they were completely shattered.

**Second, set your stop-loss properly.** If ETH hits 3400, set your stop at 3250; if BTC hits 98,000, then 92,000 is your critical line. Don’t hold onto false hope—they won’t turn back just because you say “wait a little longer.”

**Third?** Forget it, the original text didn’t finish. But the first two are enough—staying alive is more important than anything.